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Disc

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Disc

  1. Disc
    I just got Oklahoma NAM'd. 12" to nada.
  2. Disc
    Yeah that just made this an even harder forecast. So now we range from 2 feet on the NAM to 0 from the GFS, with every other model in between.
  3. Disc
    I'm in full on weenie mode after seeing that NAM run.
  4. Disc
    Yes. Still very much in this. We are in a good spot and 6-12" is likely.
  5. Disc
    The south shifts are gonna put me in the sanitarium. Such a sharp cutoff across the area up here.
  6. Disc
  7. Disc
    http://mageval.ncep.noaa.gov/model-guidance-model-area.php Says GFS, but this is the FV3. Hence the 'eval' in the URL.
  8. Disc
    Agreed. CAD will be well entrenched from Wytheville to the Blacksburg area, as usual. Southern Floyd County also tends to jackpot, but there's not many options to stay in that area. Hillsville would be my location of choice as of right now.
  9. Disc
    Correct. This is Kuchera. It at least tones down on the absurd totals to the east.
  10. Disc
    Too far out to even begin discussing this honestly. We are still trying to nail down a track.
  11. Disc
    Probably under doing it, per the usual. But we will have to wait and see.
  12. Disc
    The Euro isn't making this forecast any easier.
  13. Disc
    It's been an insane few months for sure. Speaking of record breaking rain, IF (and big IF) the Euro is anywhere close to being correct, it would likely break Roanoke's all time rainfall record for the year.
  14. Disc
    Yeah. I don't need it though. That means being stuck at the office for large/unwanted amounts of time. Still lots of model watching and trends to go!
  15. Disc
    I'm under the 30" of snow on the Euro. I'll rent my house out to the board.
  16. Disc
    Correct. I've been seeing a lot of absolutes being posted around here -- And it's still way too far out to even begin saying who will get what. A lot of people also read this forum who may take the absolutes and run with them. We can start nailing down who will get what later in the week, for now let's just sit back and watch each run. All we know is that there is likely a storm coming, but beyond that, nobody knows.
  17. Disc
    Gusts already over hurricane force NE of Morehead City. https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KNCDAVIS2&cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash
  18. Disc
    Blacksburg and the UA site in Greensboro will also be conducting 6hr launches.
  19. Disc
  20. Disc
    It shouldn't be taken as gospel at this range. It really becomes useful for events within 36 hours. It's a finer resolution model, so it's better with the mesoscale aspect. i.e sniffing out warm noses and banding.
  21. Disc
    Only thing going for me is I have good ratios.
  22. Disc
    These boards are pure entertainment during snow threats. I love it!
  23. Disc
    "(Insert model name here) is running."
  24. Disc
    Only useful out to 1hr.
  25. Disc
    ECMWF: The best model out there -- until it crushes all the weenie's dreams.
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