Jump to content

Burghblizz

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    1,525

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by Burghblizz

  1. Burghblizz
    This band was thumping! Hardest synoptic snow I’ve seen in awhile
  2. Burghblizz
    Those 35/40 DBZs have arrived and it’s ALL Snow
  3. Burghblizz
    Mailman probably a good person to stand guard for that
  4. Burghblizz
    Agree - I think that 11” in March a couple years ago was mostly daytime, or at least kept going into the next day. But most of the more significant snows the last 10 years seem to be mostly at night.
  5. Burghblizz
    Ripping out here already. Hopefully means more expansive and not just “early”
  6. Burghblizz
    With coastal development in the Carolinas as opposed to further north, I don’t think the tongue makes it accross the M/D line. So I say let’s flirt with It and bring in more WAA snows
  7. Burghblizz
    Reminder: snow is awesome. Time to get out of the models and outside!
  8. Burghblizz
    NAM is interesting because it closes off, and then has SLP retrograde a bit. Not sure that has been depicted yet. It’s probably a little too late for that to have a meaningful impact as it had already begun to slide east and offshore. If it would have done that at the Chesapeake, then it could really mean something. Still all a computers imagination, so we’ll see what happens!
  9. Burghblizz
    Yeah Euro is fine. I don’t think this ever was going to be a 15”+ storm here. The last 4 storms that cracked 15” (93/94/03/10) all had huge closed lows. It’s too progressive. Overall good trends in the last 36 hours overall to get it to something significant. So need to keep that perspective. Still think 6-8” is a good bet. Maybe touching 10” in eastern areas.
  10. Burghblizz
    Smokes Westmoreland
  11. Burghblizz
    Easy man...it only shaved a couple inches off and these off hour runs can be lighter. Tracks looked almost identical. Let’s see how things are after tonight. That’s the final model exam.
  12. Burghblizz
    If I had to give a public forecast, I’d probably say 6-10” west to east across AGC. The only thing concerning me about challenging some of those higher model totals is the progressive nature of this. Relatively quick window to capitalize
  13. Burghblizz
    Has 12” close to Allegheny/Westmoreland boarder. I’ll take it since that’s almost my backyard! That’s likely to dance around with a rapid refresh model.
  14. Burghblizz
    I tend to agree. This isn’t like a WTOD where it overwhelms with a strong inland storm. It should flip back even if there is a period of slop.
  15. Burghblizz
    That banding can be iffy, but definitely can lead to overperforming storms. That 11” we got in March a couple years ago had that.
  16. Burghblizz
    He has always been a little lazy the further he got from I95. Doesn’t even begin to address the forecast nuances
  17. Burghblizz
    While you were sleeping, my hard work has produced: -Winter Storm Watches expanded to southwest PA counties -Euro looking more robust at 0Z -NAM going nuts at 6z. Wont even mention those totals -GFS at 6z coming around, creeping 8-12” totals in south and east of the city. Would love to see one more push with that. If we can have SLP track to the Chesapeake and have this close off at 500, it’s legit game on. That would turn WAA snows early on to the more prolonged/heavy CCB.
  18. Burghblizz
    That was a bigger, more explosive storm. It was much warmer to the east. But the setup is pretty similar. That had a first wave that overperformed as there was supposed to be heavier snow later with the coastal. But the epic snows later really only made to Somerset (3’). Still a foot of snow and a memorable storm
  19. Burghblizz
    My weenie eyes saw the same thing
  20. Burghblizz
    It would be nice to verify on higher end of those plumes again. Will be tough to do that back to back
  21. Burghblizz
    Noticed that as well. Will be interesting if that keeps showing up. NAM might be overly optimistic, but it seems the upper levels as it depicts it supports its track
  22. Burghblizz
    NAM sometimes a trend, sometimes a tease. And 84 hours is only wed eve. Hope the globals can provide a similar look by tonight.
  23. Burghblizz
    Agree - as long as it’s a solid foot and not 10 miles away :-) 1.2016 was the worst in recent memory. 5” and 15 miles from me had 15”. But you clear a foot all is good
  24. Burghblizz
    I feel like Christmas ‘02 would have been as I was there (Unless you mean physical calendar day which I’m not sure)
  25. Burghblizz
    I remember that TWC map. We had a first wave that overperformed and were sitting on like 8 or 9”. That supposed to be 12+ additional, but the big snows from the coastal cut off around somerset. We wound up with about a foot total where I was. Pretty sure they got 3’ in Somerset
×
×
  • Create New...