Festus

Daylight Savings Time begins on the second Sunday in March and ends on the first Sunday in November. So the earliest it could ever change in March is the 8th.

it's mid February, so I do my usual check in here to catch up on the latest winter threats. I see a page of geography. Not a good sign.

Slow day so here's the list of most prolific regular posters in our forum. Apologies if I missed anyone. In thousands rounded to the nearest hundred: 1 Bubbler86 29.6 2 mitchnick 26.1 3 Canderson 23.3 4 Itstrainingtime 19.1 5 Sauss06 13.3 6 Voyager 12.0 7 Blizzard of 93 11.6 8 Paweather 11.4 9 Pasnownut 9.5 10 ChescoWx 8.9 11 MAG5035 5.9 12 WmsptWx 5.5 13 DDweatherman 5.2 14 Jns2183 4.7 15 mahantango#1 3.9 16 Mount Joy Snowman 3.8 17 Superstorm 3.8

Nothing compared to some of you but my upwind neighbor has a bunch of locust trees. I now have several thousand of those big ass seed pods covering my yard. Man I hate those trees.

Yeah, I agree with that but holy shit, just slow the eff down. It's not THAT hard.

I swear Lancaster County has the worst drivers on Earth. 32 accidents on the 911 list, 3 with entrapment. Wtf?

When it comes to forecasts, most locals I talk to or overhear usually cite output from WGAL or WHTM (and rarely, the NWS, sadly). I'm guessing most of our family, friends, coworkers, etc know we're weather weenies and look to us as "being in the know". So when you provide the latest to them, what's your method? Average the latest model runs in your head and customize a forecast? Weight output from the NWS a little heavier? A favorite source here or elsewhere? Don't touch the subject with a ten foot pole?

Didn't Accuweather have forums at one point? I seem to recall they were a train wreck but don't remember the specifics.

Micro flakes here but flakes nonetheless.

Cumulative GFS 200+ hr so far this season (not sure if Kuchera or 10:1 )

LWX downgraded the Maryland border counties to a WWA. 2-4". Not a great sign for any last minute northern creep.

Looking over CTP winter event history, the most recent significant ice storm around these parts was January 1, 2021. January 1st 2021 Ice Storm

Traffic accident extravaganza down this way this morning. 14 right now on the 911 Incident list. Be careful out there.

Forecast for Punxsutawney tomorrow is cloudy. Looks like you and Mitch are going pretty far out on a limb in using models versus a rodent.

In less than 24 hours, great to see POTUS has already found the root cause that being DEI. The bottom is calling asking if we're there yet.

Wind Advisory hoisted for most of us. Gusting to 50 or maybe 60 at Canderson's wind tunnel.

With our epic cold snap now in the rearview mirror, the AVERAGE coldest day of the year for Harrisburg is January 29th. Interesting that the coldest day is pretty much in December for western USA and late January or even early February in eastern USA. Interactive map: Coldest day of the year across the United States | NOAA Climate.gov

Last 6 morning lows starting on the 20th: 2.1 -0.4 -7.1 -1.7 3.6 1.9

Looking at Millersville daily records, there's 2 days in 2014 and 1 day in 2018 with record lows just below zero. The Millersville low maximum for today is 12. So yes, at least in Millersville, this is the coldest outbreak since 1994.

-6 First time I can remember my geothermal system had to kick into auxiliary mode. And it's 5 above in International Falls at this hour. "Icebox of America" - not.

This is the 2016 Warning.

January 2016, saved for posterity...

5.6" total here. 2.3 low this morning. No chance at record cold this week as this is the same stretch of days as the epic 1994 event. Three straight days of -10 or greater lows and the only day in Millersville weather history where the high failed to reach above zero (-2). So when the youngsters go off on how cold it is, you have the "well, back in the day" at your disposal.

And not a flake yet a Lincoln Field. A little bumming about that.

Bailing here or as Eli Stolzfus would say, "it's makin daawn naw". Temp 28, visibility < 1/4 mile.