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jaxjagman

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  1. https://www.weather.gov/hun/lanina_winter_study_tennessee3_temperatures
  2. The link to above id you care..lol https://www.weather.gov/hun/elnino_winter_study_tennessee3_temperatures
  3. I assume this is going by the ONI,this is Middle Tn IN Nina years
  4. Maybe,im not sure what will happen,everything could be suppressed like Jeff mentioned,we had a ULL off the east coast last storm,models are showing a ULR off the east coast right now where ever it is placed,this could suppress the jet and hoping for clippers,to far off to tell right now plus im looking at the Euro long range
  5. I dont think we have the blocking for a storm next weekend like WPC was talking about earlier,the blocking dont seem to be there and both the GFS and Euro shows a active southern jet going into the OV,this should scream cutter and maybe cold chasing rain and maybe if cold can catch up possibly some higher elevation wrap around,maybe it will change,dunno right now
  6. Need the Euro to verify,if its even close with the blocking its showing it will turn quite cold with the map Jeff just showed
  7. Im not saying never use it,its still guidance.Sometimes it misses waves but corrects itself later,same with other models.It doesnt even have support from its members from some of its members,some are showing a stronger signal into the IO right now
  8. i was about to say that,give me weenie 18
  9. About over for us other than some flakes and maybe a brief shower
  10. Nore like snow bands,look at the Memphis radar,its fixing to end along the MS/River
  11. We're getting some moderate snow now,might be the best all day
  12. Surprised tho yall turned to sleet,you are right beside us and it still should be all snow
  13. National Weather Service Nashville TN 1148 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2025 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1141 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2025 - Continued snow/light ice accumulation and major travel impacts today into early Saturday. - Cold temperatures into next week with lows in the teens and 20s. - Temperatures below freezing during nighttime hours next week will re-freeze any melted snow, resulting in black ice and continued hazardous travel especially on secondary roads. && .SHORT TERM... (Rest of today through Saturday) Issued at 1141 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2025 Our current winter weather event is well under way at forecast time. Currently, Middle TN is all snow with our heaviest totals in our southwest counties so far, right around 4 inches. Additional snowfall is expected for them and the rest of the area throughout the afternoon hours. However, there is a feature we`ve been monitoring for the last hour or two: that warm nose that we`ve been talking about the last few days is making its way northward. Northern Alabama/Mississippi/Georgia already have reports of a transition to freezing rain and sleet as this nose moves northward. This line/transition is expected to move into our southern TN counties over the next few hours, but there is very little confidence in saying how far north it will reach into the mid-state. Current wisdom from our models suggest that it should remain south of the I-40 corridor until the precipitation stops falling. That means everyone along and north of I-40 should remain all snow, where those south of I-40, especially closer to the AL/TN state line, have a medium to high chance of seeing a transition to sleet and maybe even some light ice accumulations from freezing rain. This should begin to occur right around the noon hour on the state line and move north over the next few hours. Forecast snowfall totals haven`t changed. We still have several hours of snow before the machine shuts off. By early this evening, wintry weather should start transitioning off the Plateau and be completely into East TN before midnight. For this reason, I`m going to adjust the timing on our headlines, likely ending them by midnight. Here`s the downside: major travel impacts are going to be with us for a while. TDOT is likely to have the interstates under control pretty quickly, but secondary, less-traveled roads are going to be an issue for a few days as things thaw during the day, melt and re-freeze at night. Slick roads will be the story for the next few mornings. && .LONG TERM... (Saturday Night through next Friday) Issued at 1141 AM CST Fri Jan 10 2025 As for the rest of the forecast, it`s really pretty benign. Two systems are currently being shown to swing through the TN Valley region (one Sunday night and another Tuesday night), but both look dry at this time and will likely only act to reinforce the colder air in the area. Overall, we will remain below normals for this time of the year, but nothing too extreme. Our next chance of precip may come next weekend. Obviously, this far out, the details are sketchy, but there is some indication Old Man Winter might show his head once again. More on that with future forecast packages.
  14. Nice storm regardless,especially in SW Tn,most snow they have had in 40 years
  15. Convective bands are cool,this should light up soon west of Nashville
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