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jaxjagman

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Everything posted by jaxjagman

  1. jaxjagman
    Been a crappie winter win here thus far for us,unless you get into ice storms. Per Nashville in Jan.1.4" SN,that was before the ice storm and then a dusting after the ZR finally ended,that was the extent to our snow this winter other than token flakes at times which didnt add up to anything Temps were 2.4 BN.Last Jan we was 6.3 BN
  2. jaxjagman
  3. jaxjagman
    Not trying to discount you,but when you have decent warm nose advecion with a STJ 30-50 kts into Tn,it really seems impossible to get snow into Tn,it really dont matter what side of the mountain you look at,this is a weak LP it forms where ever it forms,even the WAA looks worse into East Tn
  4. jaxjagman
    Maybe your right,but even the NAM is showing a inverted trough with LP into the lower OV with the STJ around 30-40 kts,good luck with this for snow in Tn,sorry no model shows this will happen
  5. jaxjagman
    Thats a inverted trough,its always the worse Nightmare into our forum
  6. jaxjagman
    Looks to warm to me,if you really looks at the isobars this is an inverted trough and warm nose,you can then look at what the 850 shows,its definite a warm nose
  7. jaxjagman
    In the long range i'd stick with what the JMA is showing with the MJO.The CFS has some bias with the tropical convection into the WP/MC from Rossby and Kelvin Waves,you can clearly see this once again,this causes contructive/destructive interference with the MJO signal
  8. jaxjagman
    We got a unexpected dusting this morning
  9. jaxjagman
    Just look at the red line,the GOM has been one of the warmest since the 1980's
  10. jaxjagman
    Dont agree with this.This is more or less some hybrid weather pattern this winter,plus while it can happen the atmospheric river into the west is more Nino than NINA,you cant possibly say the west has been dry this winter,California is over 300% in some parts of abnormal QPFS
  11. jaxjagman
    SSTS in the modern day era since summer has been well AN since summer,still be interesting to see what happens in the upcoming days
  12. jaxjagman
    This map should have a better visualzation today
  13. jaxjagman
    Possibly,its still warm into the GOM,be interesting to see how it cools the next few days
  14. jaxjagman
    Could be,but if this was what the MJO showed in March of 2021, i'd be getting excited..lol
  15. jaxjagman
    Made me go back and look at some analogs into 2021
  16. jaxjagman
    Yeah but there top analog was1-25-2021 today,this was the Fultondale.Al EF3,this makes no sense to me
  17. jaxjagman
    https://www.cbc.ca/news/canada/windsor/lake-erie-january-more-ice-23-years-9.7067884
  18. jaxjagman
    Gonna be a Valentines Sweetheart for someone and the Kiss of Death for someone.Hard to figure this one out but its still a couple weeks out.GEFS shows the NAO/PNA possibly crapping out FOR US,but we are talking two weeks away/JMA has the MJO moving through P1-2,thats typically a cold look in J/F/M
  19. jaxjagman
    I'm ready for severe now https://www.spc.noaa.gov/climo/dataviewer/?hzrd=tor&sect=conus&intv=day&pd=&thrs=0
  20. jaxjagman
  21. jaxjagman
    Light snow shower,it wont last much longer it seems ATM
  22. jaxjagman
    Good luck to ya'll in the East.
  23. jaxjagman
    We got all our stuff back yesterday afternoon,then last night the internet crashed about 830,was back on this morning. Charged our phones in the car,using the phone at all was a pain in the ass,most of the time it was one bar if you got lucky with no wi-fi. Our area looks like a tornado hit with no house damage unless you had a tree fall on it
  24. jaxjagman
    We lost power for a bit,Wi-Fi is down with Comcast’s no tv getting on the the net is sketchy
  25. jaxjagman
    Back to ZR again,CF passed through Mid Tn back down to 31 now
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