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Everything posted by jaxjagman
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
jaxjagman replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
KW passing through the east has put a hurting on the ENSO in the east,CFS continues to show the the MJO getting stronger into Africa and moving into the WP,seems like a poop pattern if its right will happen again around Mid Feb or sooner- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
jaxjagman replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Of course that HP might not be there tomorrow 240h out- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
jaxjagman replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Might be wishcasting,but the big HP in the Upper plains if its further to the SE than being shown we could possibly see see a phase and something nicer than being shown,but we know how if works for us..lol- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
jaxjagman replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah the jet extension was brutal at times the last few weeks coming off Asia into NA,but we are now seemingly going back into a more Nina,with a active S/Jet.thats not that bad if you can get things to time right- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
jaxjagman replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
I know,it could totally screw up severe spring- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
jaxjagman replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Pattern look wash rinse and repeat,been like this the past couple months it seems,should trun cold the end of the month,warm up for a few days then turn cold again shorlty after..jmho- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
jaxjagman replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Nice Rex block around the GOA,Question should be the NAO and what the blocking does after as the Euro has some nice HP up around the N/Plains the end of that run- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
jaxjagman replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Its still a brick right now- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
jaxjagman replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Probably start watching the SPV around next weekend,winds decelerate and temps rise but thats not going to help out until weeks ahead if at all.But it should still weaken the SPV and displace it.I dont think you should even trust any model what it shows right now until it actually happens- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
jaxjagman replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Thats not a horrid look if it happens,but it seems this pattern we are in is so progressive and we cant get nothing to lock in- 923 replies
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Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
jaxjagman replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I dont know about Tn but i feel the goal is to get into the tournament,plus would be to win the SEC tourney.Think most fans feel that way.But Ky fans dont seem to feel that way,you have to win the big dance or we will get rid of you,just bizarre to me -
Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
jaxjagman replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah they have consumed alot of talk on our sports talk radio stations here calling for JC to get fired,then they pull off this upset.But this is KY basketball it seems,you never count them out,just strange tho -
January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
jaxjagman replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
I do agree a better PNA would squash that S/Jet.we'd probably see a BETTER hp to the NW possibly even somewhere into the Cen Plains,jmho- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
jaxjagman replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
I agree we seem to be finally getting the Pac Jet out but now we deal with the S/jet,arggg- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
jaxjagman replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Even East Asia has been changing the last couple days.GFS want to build a Aluetian Rex block, the Euro seems to following it but not a Rex,East Asia looks cold for a couple days but then it warms back up.Aluetian high would mean a SER,POOP PATTERN- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
jaxjagman replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
teleconnections on the GEFS seems to want a +ao/-pna,not what you would like to see in the long range right now- 923 replies
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Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
jaxjagman replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
I swear Kentucky has the most weird basketball program,seriously thought Tn would crush them -
January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
jaxjagman replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Starting to wonder if we are fixing to see the kiss of death for this winter as we head into Feb.CFS wants to show a standing wave into the WP,along with a strenghtening MJO signal,of course this could be wrong but you still dont want to see this- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
jaxjagman replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
GFS keeps hinting a REX block around the Aluetians long range,dont think we want to see that- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
jaxjagman replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Keep seeing for a time being more ridge over Japan into South Korea,this should be more or less ridge around the Carolinas into the 3rd week of Jan but for a brief time after it gets broke down,we should turn cold again still towards the end of the month,but no clue about after,its probably just gonna be the typical up and down pattern we've seen lately but i'm not sure we really cool down until then,not much anyways,seem to me a period OF A/N is on the horizon- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
jaxjagman replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
lol...snow lovers hell,i like that- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
jaxjagman replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Not sure i trust the CFS,seems to be showing a rossby wave with a Kelvin Wave crashing into the MJO and it blows up into portions of the IO,this probably should strenghten the MJO into the Maritime towards the end of the month- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
jaxjagman replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Think you said it several days ago,pattern looks up and down right now,but i still think we turn much colder maybe towards the the end of Jan,maybe we can get a system for someone- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
jaxjagman replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Dunno,dont like where the MJO is headed into Feb right now,seems to showing Maritime- 923 replies
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January 2023 Medium/Long Range Pattern Discussion Thread
jaxjagman replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
If the Euro is right we could get pretty cold for a spell into the last week of Jan- 923 replies
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