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Everything posted by jaxjagman
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February 2024 mid/ long range
jaxjagman replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Just shows the potential for a SSWE https://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/products/clisys/STRAT/readme.html- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
jaxjagman replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
The mean has been pretty consistent with bringing the MJO into around phase 8 today and is even just as consistent the last few days with the stopping point.It's having a hard time in the WP.yesterday it was fairly clustered by day 5,not as much today- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
jaxjagman replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
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February 2024 mid/ long range
jaxjagman replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
In the past few years parts of Nashville to the north of it has been like a tornado magnet,we havent had one here since 2020.Best area of severe though has always been along the TN/MS/AL border But yes,home insurance has certainly spiked up.- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
jaxjagman replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Cold soccer season is not fun.I remember those days when my kids played- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
jaxjagman replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
This updates in our afternoon each day.But the ensembles are pretty clustered D5 going back into the WP,then by D10 about to be or getting into the WH so we might have to wait until the last week of Feb to get colder it seems like to me- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
jaxjagman replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
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February 2024 mid/ long range
jaxjagman replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
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Fall/Winter Banter - Football, Basketball, Snowball?
jaxjagman replied to John1122's topic in Tennessee Valley
Sports has gotten out of control in all areas because of money and the fans are the ones that are paying for it Baseball look at how the Dodgers found a way to exploit the Ohtani contract,Hes getting paid a annual salary of 2M$ plus deferred payments of 68M$ between 2033 TO 2043 so they can just try and win a championship. Look at the NFL,they are now trying to make this into a international and PPV game.Look at all the price hikes some teams are doing starting next season is just insane.Plus the Super Bowl,for a 20 person suite you pay between 1.4M$-2.5M$, for up to 20 people that is insane,price of a beer$20,if you wanna a hot dog its only $12.75..lmao Now to college sports what are the rules?The NCAA has been corrupt now for decades.It seems the BIG-10 and SEC are getting pissed off and maybe had enough and formed a advisory group together this week,but its hard to read between the lines what is going on.But NIL ,shoot some college players soon will be able to retire before even leaving college if not already The sports world has become Insanity for fans,it's suppose to be entertainment not a business not for you morage your house to watch a game,its out of control !! -
February 2024 mid/ long range
jaxjagman replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
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February 2024 mid/ long range
jaxjagman replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
The Mean looks much better today instead of aiming towards the Maritime long range,its more headed into the IO.Its going back into the WP(PHASE6) D5,then its pretty clustered going into the WH by D10,some odd ball are showing the GFS.As of day 20,break out the darts- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
jaxjagman replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
That's really a considerable spread as we head past the Mid month of Feb,sometimes tho as we all know the GFS can pull a rabbit out of its hat in the long range,not often but it does happen- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
jaxjagman replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Not sure about the GFS,it seems to be hinting at bringing back a +EAMT and the MJO stays into the WP a bit longer.But there is some feedback problems it seems but its been showing this the last couple runs but dont have much of any support.Just about every model i look at shows the MJO going into the WH mid month- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
jaxjagman replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
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February 2024 mid/ long range
jaxjagman replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah and the WWB by the Mean takes it back into the WP for a brief time,starting to have my doubts it gets cold around the mid month,not real cold anyways- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
jaxjagman replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Mondays and Thursday,no need to apologize- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
jaxjagman replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Maybe because its still Sunday- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
jaxjagman replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
This is actually pretty nice the GEFS and EPS are on the same page,you can look at Carvers map above and the pattern should be something similar to his maps around mid Feb- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
jaxjagman replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Quite a few more members today showing the MJO into the WH as we are into Feb.Mean doesnt seem to have a whole lot of support- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
jaxjagman replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
It still amazes me how the pattern looks so similar to 2021.I had to rub my eyes,check it over and over and over to make sure i had the right dates,even the MJO into the IO almost did the same thing into Jan around the same exact time frame- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
jaxjagman replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Certainly as of today someone could get a winter storm towards the mid month of Feb in our parts if the teles work in our favor- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
jaxjagman replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
This would be similar to what the GFS is showing with a warm up in East Asia which should possibly be into the 2nd week of Feb, for us then the heights fall- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
jaxjagman replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Then go ahead into mid March you can see what actually transpired in 2021,not saying this will happen again,just pointing stuff from 2021 vs 2024- 750 replies
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February 2024 mid/ long range
jaxjagman replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
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February 2024 mid/ long range
jaxjagman replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Here is the MJO back into 2021 compared to this year,the stopping point is Feb 18th.We had a major winter storm Feb14-15 in Middle Tn.See and similarity?- 750 replies
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