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jaxjagman

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About jaxjagman

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KBNA
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  • Location:
    Brentwood,Tn.

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  1. jaxjagman
    Yes,im not sure even MV does maint on his sites anymore,but i still use it,so it could be wrong for sure
  2. jaxjagman
    This has been what the JMA has been showing and the folllowing year generally leads back into a NINA the following winter
  3. jaxjagman
    Seemingly or more likely we are headed towards a EQBO,i still think there would be little sample size what this winter will be,but more than likely as some of maps shown above,who knows maybe we will get suprised(ducking)..lol Edit:meant westerly WQBO
  4. jaxjagman
    i did some research a couple days ago how a strong Nino effects our area or region.In general Dec can have some strong tornadoes which surprised me because we dont see this in NINO into winter,in Jan along the Appalachian Mountains has flooding and a freak IP/SN happens in Feb Edit:Other wise its going to be AN with with temps
  5. jaxjagman
    I understand,i'd like to see it also myself..lol
  6. jaxjagman
    Thats kinda what i thought you was talking about,i dont know myself where to find that and even with the hype of a super NINA i would think the skill score of any model would be fairly low,if it even makes it to Super..JMO
  7. jaxjagman
    I think this goes out the furthest dont it?I know JMA goes through Dec,but i'm not sure this is what you are looking for https://iri.columbia.edu/our-expertise/climate/forecasts/enso/current/?enso_tab=enso-nmme
  8. jaxjagman
    Its been boring here,almost like 2022 where we only had 5 tornadoes the whole year,thats really surprising to me in 2022 it was mainly a moderate NINA the whole year
  9. jaxjagman
    It seems like it could level off for a brief time,the MJO is forecast to stay into the IO for a brief time but this seems like its from the Rossby Wave train into the IO with a Kelvin Wave moving towards the Peruvian coast,you can see this as 1.2 is starting to rise now from downwelling Kelvin Wave.Another big WWB seems to be coming past mid month somewhere along the IDL
  10. jaxjagman
    All good,i guess work does come before play..lol..Good to see you back tho !! Its always good to read your post and Jeff during severe to read yalls thoughts.Looks like you have a shot middle of next week,lots of uncertainty in our parts. In the long range the MJO seems to be getting stuck into the IO by a Rossby Wave plus also you have a Kelvin in the east so the signal is getting destroyed.But if the -AAM can stayed coupled with the MJO,we could get rather active in the long range
  11. jaxjagman
    You talk to Vortex any?I seen where they had a tornado recently around where he lives,he went AWOL on us
  12. jaxjagman
    These models can be real shitty with severe,just like today.Nashville has been telling people for the last few days to not let your guard down today,which the models have been showing with basically wind dmg.We didnt get next to nothing,not even a drop of rain
  13. jaxjagman
    Wouldnt trust any model right now in our parts,GFS even looks much better tonight,east of the Cymberland,late Monday
  14. jaxjagman
    This should even kick off phoons once again,even tho this is 360 hrs out by the GFS from Rossby and plus Kelvin waves.
  15. jaxjagman
    This looks like another Rossby Wave west of the IDL,while some RMMS are hinting the MJO could possibly go back into the WP,the MJO signal seemingly is getting destructive interference from this and is into the WH.I see the CFS is already showing another strong WWB but be carefulll looking at this or any models,that WWB last time wasnt as strong east of the IDL and was more or less picked up at times by the Rossby Wave train.
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