jaxjagman

Yeah towards or into next weekend

Models are in better agreement now with the MJO without the signal getting destroyed. Long range at least right now with the MJO into the WP is ongoing and should have a decent signal into the WH into the 3rd wk of Jan Next weekend right now looks severe,but this could be your typical strong CF before it turns cold again in winter.Thats the way it looks to me right now where the signs are headed

Just shows the PV getting dispaced into the Baffin Sea and Northwesten Passages,its still just fantasy,not sure why i even posted it here,but that could get quite cold into parts of NA depending on what ever teleconnection connect with

The warm SST'S into the GOM are a breeding ground for strong storms right now,really would hate to see cold get penetrated into the region,of course for people into that region time to time you see winter modeled into that region even tho its fantasy range

True,thats a uptick even since the 12z,not much but something is better than nothing..lol

Purty active pattern upcoming,someone should get something out of this mess

In general when you see all that mess into WP,you'd think its gonna warm up in our parts with the MJO signal relative strong and you also see where the MJO RMM'S do funky stuff into P6,past the mid month.MJO is still moving even tho the RMM'S says it isnt,my thinking is after that mess clears,the RMMS will correct itself and show a fast moving signal until they catch up,just destructive interference from Rossby and Kelvin

It dont look as brutal as it has been this time.The ensembles all of them seem to struggle to even get into the 40's,so maybe it wont be that bad.

Can you imagine that with this,of course its fantasy right now

Just for fantasy purposes,its still fun to look at if you are a cold lover,i'm not that person but you can also see a big artic high nosing down towards the Upper Plains the end of the run on the GFS,if you look at the other charts

Probably the best look we've seen all season other than what you guys got in the east got earlier.hopefully something transpires for someone

Hopefully the Euro is wrong,its still showing the MJO in the WP and with some strong blocking into Siberia but its shows a Asian winter time monsoonal flow,rhis would be a waste with the blocking into Siberia it shows in our parts

I'll take a shot of the GFS

You can teleconnect with what the GEFS shows into East Asia,while you have some possible winter in the long range,this should just be transient cold and a warm up afterwards.But this is also with the MJO related sorta speaking So this is gonna crash the good PNA as heights lower into Russia/Mongolia

You're definite seeing a pattern change since we've seen this since fall in the upcoming days