dendrite
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Everything posted by dendrite
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Still a lot of low CC on dual pol up here but we’ve been in the better lift and all snow for awhile.
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29.0° SN Just talked to my mom and it’s snowing on the north end in Manch.
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All snow 29.9° Should mix or flip at MHT within the next hour
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Starting to flip from here to CON…CC climbing
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Similar here. Mostly sleet, but a few slower falling flakes mixed in. 30.2°
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HRRR is still trying to give CON/MHT 6”
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Hopefully +3C
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31° with light freezing rain and sleet
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Hopefully his ceiling caves in
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32/26 here after a high of 49°. Not bad. Hopefully it freezes up a bit so we don’t get a mucky refrozen layer on the bottom of the driveway.
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You’ll be mostly frozen…may as well cheer on snow over sleet.
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Radar looks okay but remember the reflectivities are mostly rain and some brightbanding aloft right now to our west. (ENX and OKX)
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Good luck with Precious
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He wants an icestorm
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https://www.noaa.gov/jetstream/upperair/skew-t-log-p-diagrams On the left going up in white you have the pressure levels…sfc-1000mb up to 100mb. Horizontal axis is temp/dew in degC…temp is red…dew green. The temp lines slant up and to the right 45°. There’s a little nose of air a bit above 850mb that is higher than 0C.
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3k is like 4-5” here
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There’s your micro +1C layer. That’s dangerously close to a thump though.
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Toss that
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Christine sucking the life out of the air
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They’re slowly advecting through Rockingham county now.
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That’s a really bizarre sfc temp map for early March
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HIE 50…plymouth 49
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Definitely getting an increase in ENE winds now despite similar sky conditions. Down to 44.7
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You’re going to need a good, sustained push of CAA in the zr zone because of latent heat release. 3-5” in the max sn zone looks good to me…either side of an AFN-BVY line. If there’s a junk +1C layer aloft that could wreck havoc on the southern end of that if you’re battling junk precip for awhile.
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Gfs aifs is a big torch tue and wed. Ec aifs is well into the 60s both days. Gfs is obviously struggling to get the warmth in there. Ec is warm both days but is a late warm fropa wed, Ggem is warm tue but wedges up here wed. Icon is similar. I think AIs are overdone…just gotta see how how much oomph the potential wedge has Wed.
