dendrite

That was measured by great great great grandpa Wood.

Well the satellite has different bands with different wavelengths that measure wv at different levels. I think the rule of thumb was that the more typically used wv images showed you wv around the 600mb level. I haven’t gotten enough into GOES-R to know what micrometer wavelengths they use for their lower, mid, and upper wv maps. I think the mid trop one is 6.9um. Plus there’s the fact you’re comparing vorticity to water vapor. I’m just not sure I would be hyperscrutinizing the two looking for comparisons or model error.

Be careful comparing WV to modeled H5 vorticity...it isn’t totally apples to apples.

Subby zone?

Kinda scares me seeing the CCB this close. If it stays just to our east we're screwed.

Flip phone?

Inbred fertilization

Yes, but I'm going to need more than 17 chickens to account for all of the models we have now.

By now hopefully everyone found a model run that they like for their backyard.

Corn on the cobb or corn in the crap? We shall see.

Welcome to 15 mins ago.

TT added H7 and H85 fronto and temp adv to most of their models.

Sometimes the best forcing with those bands end up higher up...H5-H7. I'll have to look at BUFKIT later as I have to head out. I'm sure Scoot can explain it more and better.

He has those fronto maps on TT now so he doesn't have to wait for a text from Shabbs. Of course that's just H7 so the banding could be a little west of the best H7 fronto. IOW, the NAM has it west of him. lol

Dom and Tip may get their subsidence

Chickens gasping for air

Congrats Mitch

Definitely not backing down.

Yeah I was worried about a later hook, but it looks pretty decent at 15hr.

That’s what I’ve been telling fam down in MHT. 6-12+

My hunch is the band is closer to you and not over Logan in NY.

PF just had a stroke

I’d wait until the 00z runs before backpedaling. The euro wasn’t great, but don’t change everything over a few 18z runs. Maybe everything ticks back west at 00z with new raob data.

After the other night, can you handle another storm?

Here’s the 12z GFS qg omega. The best qg convergence does shift offshore.