dendrite

Estcourt Station went below freezing in July of 17.

Snow at First Lake in August.

This probably would've been a brutal end to your August in 1965. CON,1965-08-29 00:00,KCON 290000Z 29008KT 15SM OVC/// 17/15 A//// RMK SLP034 P0001 T01720150 CON,1965-08-29 03:00,KCON 290300Z 26010KT 10SM CLR 16/10 A//// RMK SLP047 T01560100 CON,1965-08-29 06:00,KCON 290600Z 33015KT 10SM CLR 12/05 A//// RMK SLP090 T01170050 CON,1965-08-29 09:00,KCON 290900Z 33012KT 10SM CLR 09/03 A//// RMK SLP114 T00890028 CON,1965-08-29 12:00,KCON 291200Z 27013KT 15SM CLR 09/02 A//// RMK SLP140 T00940022 CON,1965-08-29 15:00,KCON 291500Z 28016KT 15SM SCT/// 13/02 A//// RMK SLP126 T01330022 CON,1965-08-29 18:00,KCON 291800Z 29015KT 15SM BKN/// 16/07 A//// RMK SLP116 T01560067 CON,1965-08-29 21:00,KCON 292100Z 31022KT 2SM TSRA OVC/// 12/08 A//// RMK SLP121 P0016 T01170083 CON,1965-08-30 00:00,KCON 300000Z 29008KT 15SM CLR 08/02 A//// RMK SLP152 T00830022 CON,1965-08-30 03:00,KCON 300300Z 06004KT 10SM CLR 04/02 A//// RMK SLP165 T00390017 CON,1965-08-30 06:00,KCON 300600Z 21005KT 10SM CLR 04/02 A//// RMK SLP175 T00390017 CON,1965-08-30 09:00,KCON 300900Z 09004KT 10SM CLR 01/M01 A//// RMK SLP175 T00061011 CON,1965-08-30 12:00,KCON 301200Z 24008KT 15SM SCT/// 07/02 A//// RMK SLP179 T00720017 CON,1965-08-30 15:00,KCON 301500Z 32018KT 15SM BKN/// 12/02 A//// RMK SLP189 T01220017 CON,1965-08-30 18:00,KCON 301800Z 31017KT 15SM SCT/// 15/00 A//// RMK SLP182 T01500000 CON,1965-08-30 21:00,KCON 302100Z 34012KT 15SM CLR 16/01 A//// RMK SLP193 T01560006 CON,1965-08-31 00:00,KCON 310000Z 04004KT 15SM FEW/// 12/00 A//// RMK SLP212 T01170000 CON,1965-08-31 03:00,KCON 310300Z 30003KT 15SM CLR 05/02 A//// RMK SLP231 T00500022 CON,1965-08-31 06:00,KCON 310600Z 00000KT 15SM CLR 01/M01 A//// RMK SLP251 T00061011 CON,1965-08-31 09:00,KCON 310900Z 00000KT 10SM OVC/// M01/M02 A//// RMK SLP258 T10111022 CON,1965-08-31 12:00,KCON 311200Z 00000KT 3SM FG OVC/// BKN/// 02/02 A//// RMK SLP272 T00220017 CON,1965-08-31 15:00,KCON 311500Z 18003KT 15SM OVC/// 14/05 A//// RMK SLP263 T01390050 CON,1965-08-31 18:00,KCON 311800Z 18008KT 15SM SCT/// OVC/// 16/03 A//// RMK SLP259 T01610033 CON,1965-08-31 21:00,KCON 312100Z 18008KT 15SM -SHRA BKN/// OVC/// 15/05 A//// RMK SLP249 T01500050

Drought Awakening

Think I saw 53° on the console. Still no power.

62/53 Still no power

100m wind speed is in 1hr increments. Just back dat map up. https://weather.us/model-charts/euro/2020080312/new-hampshire/wind-speed-330f/20200805-0600z.html

70-75kt winds at 925 over CT.

I really don't know what to expect. There's caution flags on each side of the spectrum. I wouldn't be surprised if it fails or if it surprises. Not much of a forecast there, but I don't need to make one for this so I'll be sitting back and enjoying watching it play out.

It has a 100kt LLJ into the interior at H85.

I believe it's some kind of algorithm used to mechanically mix down wind from a certain level. I think there's rarely any real world validity to the numbers those maps spit out.

We can always go higher.

I'd rather have a correct forecast than a pretty one.

The actual model gust product has some 50-60mph gusts across SNE and SE NH too.

TS warning requires 3 straight hours of vis reduced to 1/4 mile because of dews.

EC 100m AGL wind. If we can warm sector up here it could be interesting for a couple hours. It's a long shot. Toss the 80mph winds, but it could get gusty.

No one is doubting S CT and LI.

Yeah I had posted about that right entrance region a couple days ago wrt the possible PRE, but it makes sense if we’re exhausting that well aloft that it could give a little boost to the core.

It definitely looks breezy for a period down there...especially the southern counties. But sorry...this isn’t “the one” for you.

DIT phone home

Could be a couple of good gusts on Tolland since they mix out so well and torch easily on S winds.

I had one of the lowest monthly totals for NH in Torchfield.

So you're on board today? Nice...that's 2 days in a row. You've been alternating daily for the last 5 days.

idk...this looks legit