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dendrite

Administrator / Meteorologist
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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. Well aware. NYC was in that meso band for awhile. I'm talking more south of the city into E NJ.
  2. Horrible run-to-run consistency. Every run crushes CT/S NH/MA/RI, but those on the edge are getting flip flopped between 2ft and 6-10".
  3. lol...the model is so horrible. Nice hit here, but does it even matter?
  4. Well when I do it I pretty much just look at the early hours. Anything past 6hr...meh.
  5. 22z HRRR comes west a bit. Analyzing these hourly models blows.
  6. euro had about 0.15" QPF in the 18-00z period in the NYC area. Precip totals since 18z so far...LGA 0.20" EWR 0.12" JFK 0.11" Of course some of that is a meso weenie band.
  7. The meltdowns would be epic. I wouldn't cheer that on, but I would find a way to take sick pleasure out of that.
  8. I was thinking a tick SE of the ecens.I think Kev may have gottenmore from the NAM...lol
  9. I can't buy the 12z euro op/ens losing that badly to the 18z RGEM. I've tossed the RGEM.
  10. Wow and Eek are the tech guys. I just pass along what I can.
  11. Nice to see the 4k NAM cave towards it's lower res brother. Night and day from 12z.
  12. No big changes on the SREFs. BOS-SE MA clobbered with 2-3" liquid.
  13. Euro gets it way north. It should be more SW-NE at our lat when arriving and then N-S before pivoting out. Dryslot...close to 1.50" I'd say for you.
  14. 1.50" line from LEB to IZG 1.00" line from PF to the Ct Lakes...lol
  15. The euro probably caves a bit too.........but we've said that before and it ends up coming in more westward. lolI think you look good. I'd rather be in interior Rockingham though.
  16. i dont think they wanted to put the 24-36s up but they had to mesh it with BOX. We can analyze all of the model runs until we're blue in the face, but it's hard to pin down those deformation bands until the event gets cranking. I still think it looks best for that ORH-LWM-PSM corridor, but we'll see how it plays out. I liked 10-14" here last night and GYX has me in that now. High bust potential either way.
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