dendrite
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Everything posted by dendrite
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OK let's not slip too far into the abyss. How's the 18z euro look?
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Wishcasts galore.
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I would not be cheering on extreme ice with the arctic express looming behind the system. A few days in the 40s.....maybe.
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That looks like more than mandatory level resolution to me.
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Yeah....I think -8C in the cold layer is that general cutoff between reforming sleet and just having supercooled drops.
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Sure. Never said it wasn't. You really want a prolonged -ZR or ZL event to go epic with the accretion...a la 98.
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This is wrong.
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We may not want to watch anyway if it gets ugly.
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This could be pretty efficient though with the arctic dry air source advecting in and temps so low to begin with.
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I think Wes has said anything above 4C completely melts the snow.
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24" of snow
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More amped southern stream, but there's pretty good confluence to our NE.
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I'm only looking at the height fields compared to the GFS at 96hr on TT, but yeah...the whole eastern 2/3 of the US looks more amped.
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No. He sends the wife and kids out with relatives for a week and he stays inside his 38F home each day looking out the windows naked as an oak branch falls every 5 minutes.
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That's the 540dm height...not thickness. 540dm thickness is roughly a 552dm height. Plus in these overrunning situations we can snow with thicknesses near 546dm.
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Take a chill pill buddy. Jesus H. lol
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-24F at Errol and -26F at Island Pond this morning. Nothing earth shattering, but some solid winter rad cold.
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FearstonSN+.....put down the charts, get yourself a paper bag, and breathe.
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These totals definitely look more realistic. I agree with Will.
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Too bad the Pats blew home field. Sunday would've been fun to watch.
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Sounds like 1/14/99 too.
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93 was like a massive global 3 stream deal. Even the coarse models back then were able to sniff it out from 5 days out. I don't recall 78 being a great long lead forecast. Sounds like yore to me.
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That first one is actually way south with the southern s/w...there's a weak northern stream s/w that rotates down around the PV aligned, but unphased with the southern one. It looks more like some kind of inverted trough deal on the GFS. I think for that to become a big show we'd need to see the models underestimating that northern s/w and it can dig enough to create some sort of partial phase. Seems like a longshot to me though.
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Seems like every year they get more steroids pumped in them than Canseco.
