dendrite

Well...it's like getting a D on test 2 after an F on test 1. An improvement, but you're still far from any academic accolades. lol

The GFS 2m temps have been improved from last year. I mean it was trying to lop 20C onto the 850s last year to produce 110F 2m temps. Of course dews ended up overperforming as well which limits your heating potential. So 100s really didn't have much of a chance.. 22-23C with W flow and good mixing would get it done though barring 75-80F dews. It's all kinda moot except for the weenieness that is actually the century mark. If we were a celcius country we probably wouldn't oooh and ahhh until the temp hit the elusive 40C (104F). Anyway, it'll be brutally hot in some way, shape, or form. Whether it's 98F or 101F or 95F/77F.

It's tough to pull a +10 this time of the year. BOS's normal right now is 74F, so a 91/74 (yesterday) only nets a +9F.

Models have kinda been all over the place after the weekend. Agree with Scoot though. Probably a delayed trough that’ll verify as a mild down.

6z GFS is still 100F on Sat with W flow and a launching pad with 23C 850s. BOS probably won't be below 80F Friday night.

GFS gone wild this weekend. Wow. Hot Saturday 2.0

What about the ever important dew data?

Celcius?

What do you consider next week? This upcoming one or the following? 12z euro cools it down after this upcoming weekend. GFS is hot through about d10. The ridge retrogrades to out west allowing for a cold shot here by d8-10 on the eps too.

Nice cool down on the euro after Saturday.

12z MEX responds. Torch. Let’s see what WTNH has this evening. GFSX MOS (MEX) KBDL GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 7/14/2019 1200 UTC FHR 24 36| 48 60| 72 84| 96 108|120 132|144 156|168 180|192 MON 15| TUE 16| WED 17| THU 18| FRI 19| SAT 20| SUN 21|MON CLIMO N/X 61 87| 63 91| 71 87| 70 88| 71 97| 77 97| 69 94| 72 62 85 TMP 69 77| 70 82| 76 79| 73 81| 76 88| 82 86| 76 84| 77 DPT 59 58| 62 64| 68 70| 69 72| 71 73| 74 68| 66 70| 71 CLD CL CL| CL PC| OV OV| OV OV| PC PC| PC PC| CL PC| PC WND 7 8| 4 9| 8 9| 7 7| 6 14| 11 14| 6 12| 8 P12 2 1| 5 5| 12 43| 51 50| 18 11| 16 15| 12 16| 22 21 20 P24 2| 5| 47| 72| 30| 23| 20| 31 Q12 0 0| 0 0| 0 1| 1 2| 0 0| 0 0| | Q24 0| 0| 1| 3| 0| 0| | T12 1 0| 1 8| 8 28| 24 34| 9 19| 14 16| 2 12| 12 T24 | 1 | 8 | 46 | 39 | 25 | 16 | 23

1P1 80/53 LCI 81/59 No humidity up here.

M/M at CON. 15 days and counting.

Nice. That’s only +0.8 when you subtract out the 3F for the newly developed UHI.

Still no data for CON for all of July. Climo data fail.

MEX rip and read? GFSX MOS (MEX) KBDL GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 7/14/2019 0000 UTC FHR 24| 36 48| 60 72| 84 96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192 SUN 14| MON 15| TUE 16| WED 17| THU 18| FRI 19| SAT 20| SUN 21 CLIMO X/N 89| 62 88| 63 90| 70 88| 70 86| 71 95| 73 90| 63 85 62 85 TMP 79| 70 78| 71 81| 76 79| 73 80| 76 85| 78 80| 70 76 DPT 61| 59 58| 61 63| 67 71| 68 70| 71 71| 68 65| 60 60 CLD PC| CL CL| CL CL| PC OV| OV OV| PC PC| PC PC| PC PC WND 14| 7 8| 4 10| 9 7| 5 10| 10 18| 15 12| 6 8 P12 5| 3 2| 3 2| 9 37| 45 51| 19 23| 30 22| 14 12 21 20 P24 | 3| 3| 37| 65| 34| 49| 25 31 Q12 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 1| 1 4| 0 0| 0 | Q24 | 0| 0| 0| 3| 0| | T12 0| 0 1| 1 6| 3 21| 26 28| 10 25| 22 14| 8 11 T24 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 35 | 40 | 38 | 14

MEX is really underwhelming for heat besides Friday. Looks like the GFS is caving a bit to the euro with the 6z run though.

Euro is probably overdoing the heat a bit as well as the following cold shot. It’ll probably be regular high end heat followed by a mild down. 93-97° with a brief day or two of low to mid 80s.

Bake bake bake sonora

I have some poke berries if anyone is feeling adventurous and wants poke sallet.

1.42" total from all of the different showers going back to Thursday.

Chatham my friend. https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/sites/site.php?station=KCHH&network=RAOB

Euro is trying to break an 850T record over CHH next Saturday evening. Pushing 26C at 00z. Like Tip said, just when models tried to meh this, it came back with a vengeance.

75/71 Borderline 3ply