dendrite

Someone tell ineedsnow that the 6z CFS hits us with 2 canes. Looks legit.

Dews are down to 68F. May tickle 95F.

78/72 -RA Swampy, but not exactly hot.

At least the cold air won’t rise.

Yeah I know. Just making it official. It’s been about 10 for us.

Thanks weenies for the congrats in the other thread. I tend to do everything late in life. Hopefully dying is one of them too.

The rain and swampass should help your moss continue to thrive.

I actually had one on those white bodied ones pick a deer fly right off me yesterday evening.

I’m not sure he’s had a serious post in a decade?

Did you go keto? lol I did for awhile and felt cold all the time until it started hitting 80+.

Not too bad here this morning. Woke up frozen with the window fan on high. Occasional showers now after a low of 65°.

Aren't you without a FARS and using an older sensor? It may be time for an upgrade. I got Gene to go to a FARS and I don't think he'd ever go back now. He says it's like living in a new climate. lol

No I'm all set. Diane hooked me up with some from TN. Hopefully they're cold hardy. Thanks though.

Horse fly here but yeah. Gotta have balls to let one of these ****ers intentionally gnaw through your flesh while calmly recording it. https://m.imgur.com/gallery/eKDIRmt

Boire? They’re 83 right now and had a high of 85.

They look like they’re right in line. Check the current temps and MaxT.

Jesus. HFD is really only at 16 ft? How the hell do they not torch like BDL, BAF, and CEF? Some of these ASOS tendencies are just flat out weird.

86F at the STEM maybe nets him an 84F? 10F under BDL?

Yeah we still have the mosquitoes too. They seem a little smaller than the mosquitoes we've had over the last 3-4 weeks. I'm not aware of all of the species we have, but I'm pretty sure we were previously dealing with mostly those striped tiger ones. These just seem like regular smaller ones. According to Wiki, as of 2015 there was a near 0% probability of having them up here. So maybe we got "lucky" after the dews last summer and they migrated our way.

They're getting bad here too. I can feel chunks of flesh getting torn from my body.

Sometimes if the cirrus is thin enough you get plenty of shortwave rad coming through and longwave IR being reradiated back down giving you a bit of a greenhouse effect. But if you're going to thicken up the high/mid level clouds enough you're going to limit that mixing height and keep higher dews at the sfc. Last year the weenie 2m products were spitting out 100s, but IIRC they were trying to mix out dews. What verified was less mixing, mid to upper 90s, and monster dews. So I think this is a pick your poison deal. Either we mix down upper 60 dews and allow the atmosphere to heat to ~100F at the tarmacs or we have less mixing and let the dews pool and we end up with 96/75 swampazz like last year. Of course a full-fledged MCS and outflow boundaries will muck that up quickly. It's still a few days away too and I know how everyone here loves in-depth warm season temp and dew analysis.

?

GFSX MOS (MEX) KDXR GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 7/16/2019 1200 UTC FHR 24 36| 48 60| 72 84| 96 108|120 132|144 156|168 180|192 WED 17| THU 18| FRI 19| SAT 20| SUN 21| MON 22| TUE 23|WED CLIMO N/X 71 85| 70 74| 64 88| 73 95| 70 90| 67 82| 62 79| 61 61 84 TMP 76 77| 71 70| 69 81| 79 86| 78 80| 72 74| 67 72| 69 DPT 68 72| 67 67| 67 72| 74 75| 70 69| 65 67| 61 59| 61 CLD OV OV| OV OV| OV PC| CL PC| CL CL| PC OV| OV PC| CL WND 7 8| 5 6| 5 9| 7 12| 7 7| 4 7| 6 7| 4 P12 19 58| 91 63| 24 5| 15 8| 15 11| 29 45| 37 21| 20999999 P24 63| 93| 24| 17| 20| 58| 46| 999 Q12 0 1| 5 2| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| 0 4| | Q24 1| 5| 0| 0| 0| 4| | T12 13 41| 36 11| 5 16| 15 19| 13 14| 22 27| 17 16| 7 T24 | 54 | 13 | 25 | 27 | 33 | 30 | 16

idk...I think sites avoiding MCS crap reach HIX values 105-110F easy. Even 97/75 gets you 110F. 99/70 gets you 106F.

Kind of a nice bust on temps up here this afternoon. 74.7F right now with the sun coming back out and that's up from 72F at 4pm. Glad we're not at BDL.