dendrite

On 5/1?

Should be fun. I’m anxiously awaiting that high of 45° with a low of 38° with 0.21” of rain and drizzle.

Really hoping for a +5SD snow retreat index soon.

I wouldn’t mind a little snow, but I kinda like it when Judah loses arguments so let’s go Fisher.

Well yeah...it’s late March and southerly flow won’t get it done. Need something bigger if you want snow down there.

Looks like 6z won’t settle anything.

Actually I think I’d rather be here 4/15-5/15ish than ENE and having to deal with hellish seabreezes. The interior can be noce i; spring once the snow melts and the mud dries.

It’s another world up here Bob. We don’t get the thaws you do. My backyard paths for the chickens have heaved about a foot above the normal ground level. The paved areas just can’t handle it.

Paved roads up here are almost more of a disaster. Huge heaves and pot holes everywhere and that's with roads newly paved within the last 3 years. The 80s pattern of rain and deep freezes really let exposed surfaces heave much more than usual around here. Mud season is a pain, but at least it compacts back down to normal when it dries out.

Kinda like how the old NOGAPs used to always track our eventual coastals over Bermuda.

I'm not going to get sucked into that question at this point...lol If it ends up a weak, strung-out mess then maybe there's mixed showers down in SNE, but if that's the case, who cares about ptype, right?

The antecedent airmass is plenty cold enough for most for a potential late blooming system.

Yeah...not gonna happen. Looks like it loses/buries some of the energy in the deep south and we end up with something weaker up here before the trailing s/w pushes through. idk...still looks like plenty of potential to me despite the messy looks. Of course messy hasn't gotten us very far this winter.

The GFS is going to have to try to deliver with the trailing 2nd potent s/w here.

Someone needs to switch HHV from imperial to metric in their METARs. KHHV 171410Z AUTO 04025KT 10SM SCT025 OVC032 52/50 A3027 RMK A01 = KHHV 171350Z AUTO 02017G26KT 10SM SCT018 OVC025 52/50 A3028 RMK A01 = KHHV 171330Z AUTO 03023G29KT 9SM BKN022 OVC026 52/50 A3025 RMK A01 = KHHV 171310Z AUTO 04023KT 9SM OVC024 52/50 A3025 RMK A01 = KHHV 171250Z AUTO 04021KT 3SM BR OVC024 51/50 A3024 RMK A01 = KHHV 171230Z AUTO 05025KT OVC024 51/50 A3021 RMK A01 = KHHV 171210Z AUTO 22.44000022KT 10SM OVC024 51/49 A3022 RMK A01 = KHHV 171150Z AUTO 05021KT 10SM OVC022 51/50 A3022 RMK A01 = KHHV 171130Z AUTO 04021KT 10SM OVC023 51/49 A3022 RMK A01 = KHHV 171110Z AUTO 05022G28KT 10SM OVC022 51/49 A3021 RMK A01 =

Yup. And it's the time of the year where it'll vaporize pretty quickly too. I don't have to worry about 2 weeks of an iced over driveway now.

That kicker plays the turd in the punch bowl on the op GFS. FV3 has more wave spacing and says no problem. 120hr both storm related shortwaves are just off LI except the GFS has the kicker entering w PA while the FV3 has it over Lake MI. Haven't seen the 6z EC though.

-SHSN here just before 5am...not even a dusting though.

Still about a foot here. I’ll measure it the morning. I had 12” this morning so maybe 11ish? Down to 33° so the puddles are getting some skim ice. The roof is almost entirely clear and dry now minus one tiny patch in a sheltered spot on the north side of the garage. So hopefully we slow down the melt this week with the 35-40° days and 15° nights. With sun and lower RH we should be able to sublimate and evaporate some of it away too. Guess we have to keep an eye on late week for a late bloomer too.

Big hit to the pack in elevations. Newbury cocorahs is down to 8”. Lower els are a foot or more. A torched early yesterday and for much longer overnight than the lower els.

Ozone warning at the picnic tables.

This is from the old BOX site. 12” events aren’t supposed to be this easy. https://web.archive.org/web/20000815054151/http://www.nws.noaa.gov/er/box/ Click on snowstorms and then climatology. I laugh when people expect a 12 incher every year now.

Appears God prefers cremation?

60.2F max. 57/51 now.

The former up here is spring. The latter is summer.