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dendrite

Administrator / Meteorologist
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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. Extreme weenie modelology here, but I've found taking the peak MOS wind number and doubling it gives you a good estimation for max gusts (mph). FWIW, lots of 25-30 numbers for Mon.
  2. Would've been better if we really torched on Sunday, thawed the ground out a bit, and drowned some roots....rip'em right out of the ground.
  3. Worst case scenario is an accumulation of sleet and then it all gets completely encased in glaze. It'll take weeks to melt the driveway out.
  4. Definitely looks windy on Monday....sun will really enhance the mixing. I'll take the under on 60mph for most though. There will probably be a lot of 45kt+ gusts though.
  5. Even 00z NAM/GFS 2m temps had me in the mid 20s/near 20 for this morning so it isn't just a MOS or lack of radiational cooling issue. But yeah, we approach the season when models start to overestimate the cold and the sun starts laughing at 2m temp progs.
  6. Wow. What a bust with MOS temps for this morning. 12z MAV yesterday had 19° for CON. I just woke up to 31° here and 33° at CON.
  7. Kev's got the power Kev's got the power He's getting, he's getting, he's getting kinda desperate He's getting, he's getting, he's getting kinda desperate
  8. Yup...below 4C the water molecules start to arrange themselves in hexagonal arrangements in preparation for freezing at 0C. I’ve found you need to get the wetbulbs above that 3-4C mark to really start melting the snow in a torch.
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