dendrite

What a pit on W flow. These are sad sustained winds for the respective gusts. KTAN 252152Z AUTO 28011G32KT 10SM BKN065 BKN080 02/M13 A2970 RMK AO2 PK WND 25035/2109 SLP058 T00171128 $ = KTAN 252052Z AUTO 28016G39KT 10SM SCT065 02/M12 A2966 RMK AO2 PK WND 26039/2044 SLP044 T00221122 53028 $ =

Yeah it did. 44kt

A late 48kt for CON. It was roaring aloft here the past 2 hours.

Why is Wiz looking for RH's w/ respect to ice of over 100%? edit....n/m. I misinterpreted what he was getting at. I was thinking he was looking for RH above 100% in order for it to be saturated with respect to ice when in reality it'd be much lower than 90%. Anyway, I think you're worrying too much here Paul. You're starting off with plenty of saturation in the column up to H55 on the NAM. It's a decently deep DGZ aloft as well.

Looks like the nammy. Dangerous to trust its synoptics this far out. Still plenty of time to up numbers though.

A little disappointed imby. I think we just weren’t able to get the mixing SNE got. Also the strongest midlevel winds were progged to go through MA.

Squalls are defined by wind...not precip.

Kinda strange to see them outside of a t'storm squall line. There's been a lot of lulls today to allow for the SQ obs to kick in when the wind ramps back up.

2nd squall for ORH...55kt KORH 251909Z 27031G55KT 10SM SQ OVC055 M02/M12 A2956 RMK AO2 PK WND 27055/1909 T10221122 =

meh...idk what people want. Lots of 50kt+ gusts at the ASOS sites. Not a dime a dozen for west flow. Still a couple more hours to go too.

AQW 41G55KT...impressive out in the Berks. Still kinda struggling up here with clouds and spits of flurries.

Rare squall ob out of ORH. KORH 251635Z 28036G52KT 10SM SQ BKN055 OVC065 M01/M13 A2950 RMK AO2 PK WND 29052/1634 T10111133 =

Pretty typical MOS fail on the first day of big CAA, but worse than usual for the MAV. The flow is unblocked so I expected quite a few clouds and SHSN, but it's been mostly OVC all morning.

I honestly would've liked to have seen more sun and warmer temps for even better mixing. MOS is going to bite the big one up here temp wise. MAV was hitting CON with a high in the low 40s...it's currently 29F with -SHSN.

Highest mid level winds don’t make it in until 18-21z

AQW 53mph and snowing.

I mean yeah, let's be real here. This isn't a hurricane or an easterly flow LLJ mixing down like Feb 2010. Trees grow to handle westerly winds. This will be a category or so higher than our typical high wind CAA events though. So don't go expecting DIT type damage even though us mets are on board with a very windy day. I think many will find it top tier windy (for W flow) come this afternoon. Some weaker trees and branches may go down and there may be some power outages, but I think we'll all be fairly safe. lol

Starting to ramp up here in con

lol. It’s 8am.

Yeah, but you're forecasting for an average and the highest probability of an amount. If 6" is on the extreme end it's not exactly the amount with the highest confidence. I think we'd need to see the models juice it up at least another category to increase the chance for WSWs.

any functioning adult 2020 lol

How does 3-6" elicit a warning?

Seems like a fun day on the rockpile. KMWN 251055Z 28094G108KT 0SM SN FZFG BLSN VV000 M15/M15 RMK PK WND 290126/38 VRY LGT ICG =

MWN 145mph

9-10am