Jump to content

dendrite

Administrator / Meteorologist
  • Posts

    67,858
  • Joined

Everything posted by dendrite

  1. I've never lived in Ma, but as a lifelong New Hampshirite my idea of SE MA follows the map runnaway posted.
  2. 33F -SN It's always nice when the first snow is a legit steady snow and not some straining in the lights for a random flake or catpaw.
  3. Bump...now this is how snow looks in the IR light. Much higher reflectivity.
  4. Jerry’s MEX has 28/12 for CON on Tuesday with a 6 for snow. The record low max for the date is 32F and the earliest 28F or colder max on record is a 27F on 11/14/1905.
  5. 39F -RA...at the high for the day currently as the breeze picks up a bit. I assume we’re starting to advect in the cold now as I mix out my wedgie
  6. Snowing at Lost River and Lafayette in the notch...so around 1700-1800ft.
  7. 36.9F -RA Thought I saw some catpaws earlier. Looks like we’re even colder than Gene right now under that shallow wedge. Maybe that will bode well when it starts cooling off more off the deck.
  8. 36.6/29 Just wanna see some flakes today. Roof to the run is finished and now I just need to get the side panels up to keep the wind out.
  9. Time to get your LSC blood back to handle the -30s.
  10. At least it has something and the R/S line through New England. Still an elongated pos at this point, but who cares?
  11. Good first post. Welcome aboard. Usually we just hand out weenies, but you're german so here's a frankfurter.
  12. idk...these setups can keep a pesky relatively warm shallow layer east of the high terrain with NW flow and slowly drying low levels. I'm leaning on the pessimistic side. Hope for flakes at the end. A coating or more is a bonus. I'll be happy up here if we get a coating.
  13. That was a record early melt. Almost got it on his birthday. You could see it brewing yesterday like the Yellowstone caldera. I think the anger has been boiling over since the lack of dews the 2nd half of summer. Emo weather.
  14. There should probably be new rules here. 1. No snow maps beyond d3 2. No 2m temp maps beyond d4 3. No QPF maps beyond d5 4. No op maps beyond d8 5. Only ens H5 heights beyond d10 6. No ICON, SREFs, or d3+ NAM at all. None. Do not pass Go. Do not collect $200.
  15. I wonder when Ray will issue his first call for the picnic tables?
  16. What’s the challenge in that? Even the JMA can nail a partly cloudy day in June.
  17. Heck it used to be once per day back in the early WWBB days. We had to rely on coarse H5, slp, and H85 temp maps at 24hr intervals once per day. And good luck ever seeing QPF. A few lucky mets would have it and would describe it to us, but for awhile there it seemed like a mythical creature. So we'd declare the euro the unanimous winner when it showed the low pressure center inside the BM at 72hr and 850s below 0C while the AVN/MRF and NOGAPS would be a flat wave heading for Bermuda. The extra resolution the Euro had back then really gave it a big advantage over the American suite with its ability to track the s/w's and actually phase them when warranted. Times have changed though and so have the standards. My problem with flip floppy models is you don't know what's more right or wrong. At least a model making toddler steps toward the consensus may have some value....like Will's Boxing Day 2010 example. So the models are definitely better overall than they used to be, but with the higher resolution and advanced parameterization it's easier to get some burp/hiccup runs as well that leave you scratching your head wondering what to believe.
×
×
  • Create New...