So much for that. Overperformed today with 62.4F. Almost matched the 63F at CON...rare we match them for a high, but this is usually the time of year for it with no green up yet.
Speaking of 1975...the 70s are becoming weather of yore. Warm days, frigid nights, big ranges, long dry stretches, low QPF. I’d take the cold mornings if I could get numerous 60s/70 during the day.
MEX has a min of 19° for CON for Thu 4/23. That would break the record of 20° from 1975. When we’re threatening record low mins in this era you know you’re in a cold pattern.
So here we are on 4/18 and I have yet to hit 60F this month. I had a 60.0F on 3/20 although if you did ASOS 5-min averaging on my data my high would've been below 60F that day. That would push me back to 66.7F on 3/9 as my last day with a high above 60F. Just cheating and glancing at MOS, I could go without 60F for the entire extended period...
KCON GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 4/18/2020 1200 UTC
FHR 24 36| 48 60| 72 84| 96 108|120 132|144 156|168 180|192
SUN 19| MON 20| TUE 21| WED 22| THU 23| FRI 24| SAT 25|SUN CLIMO
N/X 27 61| 38 58| 28 56| 29 48| 23 58| 38 54| 30 57| 33 35 60
TMP 35 54| 44 46| 37 46| 36 41| 34 51| 43 47| 39 48| 42
DPT 26 35| 32 22| 28 29| 24 15| 22 29| 35 29| 28 24| 31
CLD PC OV| OV CL| PC OV| OV PC| CL PC| OV OV| CL CL| CL
WND 3 13| 9 9| 5 16| 18 23| 13 10| 9 11| 6 15| 5
P12 0 20| 36 6| 6 68| 37 4| 4 19| 29 20| 13 8| 12 25 24
P24 24| 36| 77| 47| 19| 29| 16| 37
Q12 0 0| 0 0| 0 2| 0 0| 0 0| 0 0| |
Q24 0| 0| 3| 1| 0| 0| |
T12 1 0| 2 0| 1 10| 7 2| 2 2| 1 2| 2 0| 1
T24 | 3 | 1 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 4
PZP 3 3| 0 0| 6 1| 0 0| 4 6| 0 2| 0 5| 2
PSN 23 0| 3 10| 15 0| 38 48| 37 11| 5 5| 17 1| 3
PRS 6 6| 14 21| 15 5| 19 22| 18 20| 3 12| 15 17| 12
TYP R R| R R| R R| RS S| RS R| R R| R R| R
SNW 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| 0| |
EPS and GEFS are caca right into May. A month of April here without 60F would be lol worthy. I'm pretty sure Kevin cursed this spring with his early torch talk.
Should be a nice high terrain interior Mass jack. Looks a tick warmer/north than 00z, but it only really affects those on the southern fringe. Looks good Pike-north for a hefty thump. Still thankfully a low QPF event up here.