dendrite

Kicking through NYC now.

That mesolow was pretty well modeled. Heading right for the CT/RI border.

51mph at FOK and ISP

I liked this map.

Why are you using the 15z HRRR? 23z is running now,

Long range on radarscope works for me.

Latest runs are weaker than that and it’s more focused on NYC/LI/S Coast anyway. You’ll be sleeping during it anyway.

He’ll get power back midnight Monday night.

I just think it’s run of the mill for you. Sure, you’ll get some 40-45mph gusts that’ll take down a rotted, gypsy-ravaged oak branch, but I don’t think it’s anything exotic for most of the interior. The easterly flow downslope areas from AQW/DDH northward will roar for a bit. But I think this is LI/GON/BID into E MA and then E NH/S ME for the more anomalous wind. Of course I wish you all the best and may all of your oak trees uproot.

3 pulses of meh

Gusts in the 40s. Nothing out of the ordinary.

The state house already made the sign.

Maybe dendy can set the state record.

Anemometer obstructed by Mt Tolland

6SD -U winds...should be fun.

I'd probably be more worried about water there. Although 40mph+ gusts after 2-4" of rain could soften things up as well.

GFS almost loses the mesolow...just a bit of a semblance of it this run.

Yeah...I'm still on the E MA/E NH/S ME train and the CAA will probably be the usual windy conditions. The exotic stuff will be east of the low. We do raise the low level lapse rates a bit as that TROWAL and LLJ get pulled into S NH. Get a little g-wave action and some +RA and maybe we can mix something decent down after midnight. That's around the time the Nammy starts getting wild (for our standards) up here.

Not your typical looking dual jet structure, but we're tilting negative. While approaching peak maturity the best divergent region does appear to collocate over the mesolow moving into SE MA. I don't look at H25 and think near record low pressures though with 100-120kt streaks, but I won't pretend to be able to do all of the calculus in my head better than the models. It does make me think we need a potent mesolow to make this go nuclear though. As has been stated ad nauseam, the models have been fairly consistent with some semblance of that feature. It'll be fun to watch it play out. Too bad BOX is shutting down the radar to replace a few USB cables.

Wife's friend lands in MHT tomorrow in the middle of a potential record low October SLP. Good thing she isn't coming in 6-12hrs sooner.

IOSN3 is going to rock.

HRRR tells me to close the coop windows tonight.