dendrite

Heh...I was kinda just pulling that list out of my rear. But it just seems like with the cold bias in the med/long range, its struggles with coastals (BL temps, precip, phasing, etc etc), and its tendency to always be an outlier, it just isn’t very useful. At least the Ukie tends to be #2 in H5 scores and the GGEM has caught up to the GFS at H5. The NAM can be a joke, but there’s times where it can be useful and onto something. Its biases tend to be predictable too.

ECMWF UKMET RGEM ARPEGE GGEM NAM GFS ICON NAVGEM

ARPEGE is from meteofrance. The 1km Swiss model is from Joerg from weather.us. I think it’s paywalled now behind weather.us and the sister site weathermodels.com by Maue.

The GFS is definitely #2. #2 as in a steaming hot pile of dog dung in Ginxy’s backyard.

A little ditty, a jack for Diane?

When you call his name, it's like a weenie prayer You're down on your knees, he's gonna make it rain In the midnight hour, the Euro starts to cower Just like a prayer, weenies in despair

Still over a month from the first day of winter. The sun angle is too high.

This is the most extreme solution for up here right now so obviously take it with a grain of salt to begin with. But if it played out something like this run you'd probably even up those numbers over the interior in spots. It's frigid where it's all snow. The Euro is spitting out 20s midday Friday with the +SN. Of course this will end up flatter and DIT will weenie this to a jack over his house of 4-6".

It's only using 10:1....that's not Kuchera crap

Coop crusher to a bangor banging.

Crushed

Here comes the EPS mean...right over me fanny.

**** I said screw it to the leaves this past weekend and worked on finishing the extension to my chicken run. The past 2 years I've had to shovel 1/2 of it out since I never finished the rafters/roof. Just need to get 3 roof panels up over the next few days and we'll be good for Friday. If the leaves get trapped and frozen to the lawn for the 2nd straight year I'll have another warm season of diseased patches. Hopefully we can warm it up a bit at the end of the month so I can get them up. 6" with a cold stretch following it has me worried.

He’s been quietly and subtly posting those EPS snow probs showing the max axis in NNE/CNE.

Dudes?

Moved the LR talk to the pattern thread

Free https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2019110312&fh=150&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_city_bos&p=sn10_acc&m=ecmwf_full

Pivotalweather has free euro qpf for now...only 00/12z though and 6hrly.

Cold bias making it too progressive?

My oaks here are almost completely bare after the last storm. Stick season is fully here.

Give the millennials a few more years and we’ll be having winter sunsets at 7pm and sunrises at 10am.

I was about to pull the trigger on Maue’s site, but this may make me hold off for a bit.

Wonder how pivotal (I think Brettjrob is still there?) is pulling off the free euro qpf?

Damnit. I don't have all of my leaves up yet.

GGEM, ICON, and GEFS. I smell consensus.