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dendrite

Administrator / Meteorologist
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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. You know how the nammy works...it’s usually the warmest in that 700-825 layer with WAA. It seems to verify about half the time. But the 3k is a good 1-2C warmer than it’s lower res cousin.
  2. 3km is warmer than the 12km. Idk if I buy it being that warm, but I wouldn’t just toss it like he did...maybe keep it in the back of my mind and see how the 12z models trend way upstairs. The 3k even tries to mix up to CON.
  3. This is what we do. As soon as we start to see model consensus they start spiraling into the abyss.
  4. Really like the mid level RH swinging more north later on. Not really too worried about NAM details. I feel like we're going to get some curveballs close in.
  5. This isn't one of those easterly flow firehose deals. The low levels will be backed to the N-NE. It's the midlevels that are easterly.
  6. They are going to be pissed when they walk out Monday morning.
  7. Gotta watch those 6hr vs 12hr increments when making loops over on TT.
  8. Just missing the 2ft blob over NYC.
  9. Looks like it finds a way to nickle and dime a weenie 1.25" QPF to the coop. Should be a Currier and Ives start to the week.
  10. GFS is bringing the midlevel goodies up here.
  11. Really good front end thump. It's kinda hard to have your cake and it eat too. The WAA/isentropic lift is what's giving you your forcing.
  12. Nice hit north of the Pike up to CON/here.
  13. At least whatever we get will be all snow. Although ptype issues here would be quite the lol.
  14. NAM is still pinging up to ORH by 60-63hr. H85 crashes, but it's almost like the wedge deepens and undercuts the warm air aloft at H75.
  15. Mid levels are warm verbatim. The WAA with part 1 brings a healthy melting layer above H85 down there.
  16. Did someone get gravy in the CON ASOS again?
  17. Seriously...I'm cool with the NY peeps here to talk meteorology, but this is the New England subforum so we don't need all of the emotional poor NYC posts in here from the usual weens. We have enough of that as it is with NNE vs SNE and EMATT vs WNE. I'm not trying to be a dink, but it's only November and JFC it's already hard to read.
  18. Hopefully that high pushes the northern edge to NJ so I can get some sun up here and avoid plain cirrus.
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