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dendrite

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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. dendrite
    I'd rather have 0" in March.
  2. dendrite
    Wow...that is a late sunrise. Mine was around 7am.
  3. dendrite
    Just one of those weenie sheltered valley things. There may be a little mixing above that point keeping the temp up around there too. But a lot of times these rad pits drops fast early, fog out, and then the surrounding areas catch up somewhat by sunrise as the fog thickens while the hills keep radiating.
  4. dendrite
    Maple Hollow?
  5. dendrite
    This is a good quick winter tutorial too. https://www.weather.gov/media/zhu/ZHU_Training_Page/winter_stuff/Winter_Stuff/Forecasting_P_Type.pdf
  6. dendrite
    I had a longer reply to you at work that I never sent...oops. Paul covered the basics well. Anyway, COMET offers some good tutorials. Are you registered there? https://www.meted.ucar.edu/training_course.php?id=6
  7. dendrite
  8. dendrite
    He doesn't flip to snow until it's about out of here. Maybe he gets a tenth or two of snow w.e. in the fantasy 84hr NAM.
  9. dendrite
    It's not even really good for Rick.
  10. dendrite
    Nice. Deeper pack than us.
  11. dendrite
    It always looks like more than 6” in the dark.
  12. dendrite
    Yeah but that was 10:1 right? Maybe QPF overperformed a bit, but the banding looked pretty good so that's not too surprising. I didn't see coco obs, but I assume some of the bigger totals were pushing 15-20:1?
  13. dendrite
    I'm not sure what you're asking. Diagnose what specifically?
  14. dendrite
    I think the GFS was just overzealous with the dry air. The precip was heavy enough too to keep any slightly drying layer saturated with sublimational wetbulbing. That 3km NAM I just posted was a lot more moist at H8 over C CT than the GFS was.
  15. dendrite
    00z 3km NAM from last night...cross sections through that banding. You can see the omega bullseye "crosshaired" through that max DGZ of -12C to -18C. That's pretty damn high up at 500mb, but if you look at the lower image the RH was high enough for deposition with respect to ice. Also, it was just moist enough in the low levels to prevent virga. This suggests a pretty sharp cutoff though with the sinking air just west of the banding and lower RH.
  16. dendrite
    Tropical Northfield.
  17. dendrite
    Yup...good midlevel fronto with big omega crosshaired in the DGZ. Idk why we trust the GFS with its low levels either. It was probably too gung-ho with the H8 dry advection. I think I mentioned yesterday how the mesos had been more moist in that layer.
  18. dendrite
    If we’re just going to snow and cut I’m not too upset about the screwgies. I’m kinda due for a crud year relative to you guys. Nickle and dime payback for 07-08.
  19. dendrite
    I got a rock.
  20. dendrite
    I'm practically last in the snow race. Pretty epic crap luck to start the season here. Although the clean up has been easy.
  21. dendrite
    Pack disappointment on 12/11. lol
  22. dendrite
    Nice guys. Pretty crazy how well you've done and how poor it's been up here. December to forget so far.
  23. dendrite
    Epic virga.
  24. dendrite
    Juicy echoes. Overperforming virga. We had some rain the past few hours, but it's just spitting now.
  25. dendrite
    ALB 00z sounding shows the dry mid level air advecting in. Very light -RASN at 1z despite this.
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