I had a high of 13F last 11/22. We lose about 10F/month this time of year so if you apply that anomalous day to 11/13 you're probably looking at a high around 17F. Of course that's in my backyard which would be about 20F at CON. The current lowest max for CON through 11/13 is 29F on 11/6/1879 and 11/10/1976. So that would be shattering the record for early cold, but it'd be about on par with how anomalous last Thanksgiving was.