dendrite

I wish we could go back to the models from 15-20 years ago so weenies could see how lucky they have it now.

Strong rad night so idk about sneaky...at least for him. -10° at 1st Lake and Lake Francis. Only down to 11.9° here. Should be a nice warm day with 26° atop Gunstock.

Idk. 00z had qpf but the ptype on pivotal was rain. Not sure what they would have had for 6z.

The reverse psychology hasn't been working. If it was me, I'd go back to weenieing the cold press over the next couple weeks. A little more confluence up there or a slight shift in the heights could get the gradient more south.

The Euro never went west. Probably time to unpin this failure.

Yeah I’d punt winter right now if I could, but the next 10 or so days have a messy look to them up here.

Somehow my mom got ahold of a clown map for the first time today. Had to give her a lesson.

oh shit. Ninja’d when I didn’t expect it

That’s when the sun angle gets just high enough so he can enter his car on a sunny afternoon and feel a fondle of warmth

Yup missed that. I don't think the GEFS are over to FV3 yet. Last I saw the goal was Q2 of this year.

Enjoy the cat paws.

Yeah the FV3 GFS has a terrible cold bias. We've tried to tell'em this for months.

E of 6z and the 3k nam is pretty far east too.

Euro still has a SWFE for then

NAM breaking his heart 1 run at a time.

It'll be funny when NNE is the only one to see accums out of this.

We all are this January.

The globals are having enough trouble with the synoptics...gl with the NAM.

It could be worse. We've had pack since 12/17 now. 20" on the month too. 01/01 35.1 26.0 0.00 18 0.0 7 01/02 37.5 23.8 0.00 11 0.0 7 01/03 39.1 30.0 0.00 7 0.0 6 01/04 36.6 32.0 0.36 7 T 6 01/05 32.3 18.6 0.04 26 0.2 6 01/06 24.6 15.2 0.05 6 1.4 7 01/07 34.2 20.6 0.04 9 0.8 8 01/08 36.6 17.5 0.26 24 7.2 13 01/09 18.8 7.0 0.00 22 0.0 13 01/10 33.8 11.0 0.00 6 0.0 11 01/11 59.9 32.4 0.00 25 0.0 9 01/12 59.9 26.1 0.15 27 0.0 4 01/13 27.2 24.9 0.00 13 0.0 1 01/14 36.2 26.4 0.01 10 T 1 01/15 39.2 29.7 0.04 12 T 1 01/16 33.2 17.0 0.47 29 6.2 7 01/17 17.1 1.1 0.00 31 0.0 7 01/18 14.9 0.7 0.42 20 3.7 10 01/19 36.4 10.8 0.03 24 0.5 10 01/20 20.2 6.4 0.00 21 0.0 10 01/21 20.3 2.0 0.00 11 0.0 10 01/22 32.8 3.4 0.00 7 0.0 10 01/23 41.3 6.3 0.00 6 0.0 10 01/24 42.4 21.1 0.00 8 0.0 10 01/25 37.4 31.8 0.65 18 0.0 9 01/26 43.8 31.3 0.03 12 0.0 7 01/27 40.4 32.0 0.00 15 0.0 6 01/28 34.4 27.8 T 22 T 5 01/29 31.0 18.9 0.00 20 0.0 5 2.55 20.0

We've been raking since fall

Nah...he developed the RPM

Man that run is close to something a lot bigger. EPS will be interesting.

It's been a wild week of emotions for you. You came out with the reverse psychology negativity first and when that didn't work you went right into full weenie mode. Now you're in desperation denial mode as you slowly sink with the Titanic band. If you need to talk let me know. Tip may be able to help too.

2 strong shortwaves down in the SE struggling to phase while a weak, shredded POS carries our sfc reflection well downstream of the strong vorts. If only looking at H5 you'd almost think the main show would be later and coming out of the SE as the longwave trough swings out.