Hires models are a little interesting. HRRR redevelops it far enough south in the GOM that we back the flow easterly for a bit while that potent ULL/vort moves in behind it.
H7 front on the 00z was pretty much right where the band setup. It had about 0.50” QPF in HFD. HFD and BDL are 0.51” and 0.37” so far respectively. The ratios were really high in that fronto.
I’ll be interested to see the cocorahs w.e. numbers.