I don't see a lot of change with the lead s/w, but there is definitely more phasing with the trailing one. Looks like it's trying to curl it back westward. The NAM does NAM things though. Gotta see some trends on the non arena league models.
I’d like to see the s/w associated with the storm slow down. Let that stronger piece dive in for some sort of phase earlier on rather than up in Nick land. Any little bit we can get that lead northern s/w outta here is a benefit too. The more spacing the better. A tick here and a tick there and maybe we can get a chain reaction of events to get some of those better results more westward. We’re running out of time though and our lead moose fart one will be passing north of us tomorrow night. So it’ll be tough to correct a lot of error in our benefit with that one. Of course it could go the other way too.
Pretty sure that map is taking 00z anomalies and not daily departures off of high temps. He should've posted the 6z anomalies though because the actual temps are even warmer than 00z with the WAA ahead of the cold fropa. Our typical 60F midnight torch.
Too many men on the field. That northern s/w keeps slowing down a hair every set of model runs and limits the ability for the storm to amplify. Eventually the bigger dog drops in and everything goes nuclear toward the Maritimes. It'd be nice to be able to get some more downstream ridging out ahead of the system we're tracking. It's just a little too flat behind the moose fart.
I mean yeah, it’s kind of a shit tweet that should have asterisks all over it, but it is what it is. He loves a good torch though...loves to see the weenies burn with each torch tweet.
My only problem with that is you're comparing a transition of summer wavelengths to cool season ones when these next two periods that are much longer Jan/Feb wavelengths.