dendrite
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Everything posted by dendrite
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Maybe even my afterlife
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BOS 37F and -RASN now
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Alicia. No one wants to be called Alice.
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They're not even saturating. 36/31. They just had their first RA ob sprinkled in too.
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Just catching up. Nice bump north with the 18z runs. Still a shot at a biggie here.
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E 15mph sustained Winthrop CWOP is also 36F...drops off quickly inland
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24.6F Mod snow
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Snowing
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Wallops MA and S NH with the wcb.
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When you loop the sim reflectivities it looks like standing waves over the higher terrain amidst the midlevel precip rotating through.
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GFS pounds ENE pretty good. heh
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3k with a late burst of midlevel fronto for S NH. Kuchy goes kinda crazy.
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We’ll get some snow...probably just not blockbuster unless we get a little bust in our favor. You’ll do better down there. edit...I keep forgetting you’re in Boscawen now too.
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NH/MA border is pretty much ground zero.
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Not us...lol
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Juicy WCB from the nam.
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Wow. What a smart cover.
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It’s the NAM vs everything else for a big event up here. That’s usually not a good sign.
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If you like to toss the HRRR past 6hr imagine how good the 48hr HRRR is.
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herpe derpe (thru 48)
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Don't forget the warm tongue.
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Yeah...that image shows it well. There was just something about the 12z model suite that left me thinking the pieces on the table weren't spaced right. The midlevels looked decent over NYC and the models kept dropping blobs of heavy QPF around the city with inverted troughing. It just looked like one of those deals where it would get its act together more SW of where it was being progged. We'll see. The Euro will probably roll in and laugh at the rest of the 00z suite.
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I'm going to keep deferring to a higher res version until I get one that I like.
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I just think it may develop a bit quicker to our SW...a more organized sfc low and better inflow south of LI. The RGEM almost has a stinger east of NJ. The arm of mid-level fronto could still swing pretty far northward...even up by me. idk...just kinda brainstorming while looking at a bajillion models and sipping an espresso. I'm not going to pretend to know how it will work out. I can't do millions of calc equations in my head per second.
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My hunch has been that inverted trough sig toward NYC becomes a bigger deal and everything starts shifting south on the models. Looks like 00z is trending that way.
