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dendrite

Administrator / Meteorologist
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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. I really don't know what to expect. There's caution flags on each side of the spectrum. I wouldn't be surprised if it fails or if it surprises. Not much of a forecast there, but I don't need to make one for this so I'll be sitting back and enjoying watching it play out.
  2. It has a 100kt LLJ into the interior at H85.
  3. I believe it's some kind of algorithm used to mechanically mix down wind from a certain level. I think there's rarely any real world validity to the numbers those maps spit out.
  4. I'd rather have a correct forecast than a pretty one.
  5. The actual model gust product has some 50-60mph gusts across SNE and SE NH too.
  6. TS warning requires 3 straight hours of vis reduced to 1/4 mile because of dews.
  7. EC 100m AGL wind. If we can warm sector up here it could be interesting for a couple hours. It's a long shot. Toss the 80mph winds, but it could get gusty.
  8. Yeah I had posted about that right entrance region a couple days ago wrt the possible PRE, but it makes sense if we’re exhausting that well aloft that it could give a little boost to the core.
  9. It definitely looks breezy for a period down there...especially the southern counties. But sorry...this isn’t “the one” for you.
  10. Could be a couple of good gusts on Tolland since they mix out so well and torch easily on S winds.
  11. I had one of the lowest monthly totals for NH in Torchfield.
  12. So you're on board today? Nice...that's 2 days in a row. You've been alternating daily for the last 5 days.
  13. It's more like a cane devil. Just a lot of blowing sand.
  14. Key West morning out there for sure. My windows were all fogged up like an overnight warm frontal passage in January.
  15. I do pretty well with southerly flow too. It’s probably my best wind direction based on how close my sustained wind speeds tend to be with gusts. Out of the W-NW I get peak winds like 13G30mph but my open south side nets me winds like 22G30mph. I’m sure 38 did quite a bit of damage in my spot. We’ll need to stay in this soupy airmass for the best mixing during the night hours. If this goes a little more E and we wedge a bit it’s ovah.
  16. Need the messenger late bump east to get in in the good rains. I’ll pass on a rogue 10pm 40mph gust up here.
  17. Yeah...I mean it may get confusing when we get our 2nd and 3rd canes of the season. Maybe even 5.
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