dendrite

ineedsnow ran this GFS run out of his basement.

82/61 Not damaging

Full moon goon for sure

Lots of those beetles here too Oriental beetles

Some sun is good. Too much is bad. Obviously if you’re pastey white your genes are inherited from ancestors that evolved to not need much sun. The less melanin in your skin, the faster you can make vitamin D from minimal UV exposure. Of course that also means less protection from the sun. I can burn pretty quickly early in the season so I have to limit myself until my body adjusts and at least tries to produce a little melanin in my skin. A lot of research has shown that the UVA is the nasty wavelength of UV wrt cancers even though it doesn’t produce much of a burn. A lot of truck drivers deal with skin cancers on their left arms or left side of their face eventually in life since the glass of their windows blocks the UVB but not the UVA. So even though the UVB will cause you the most pain with surface burns, the UVA goes deeper into your skin. Also, getting some infrared light before being out in the sun can help minimize burning later in the day. Very early sun has a higher IR:UV ratio so getting some at 8am can prime you to handle the midday UV a bit better. There’s IR saunas available in some areas too.

Only 554 active cases in NH as of yesterday and 1/5 of those were in Goffstown which I assume is a nursing home.

I use pivotal weather and always compare the frames valid at the 18z times. So it's always the peak of the afternoon. They have it out to d10 at 6hr intervals.

Looks like 3

Something happened before those bad obs and they were forced to estimate wind data. So I suppose they're trying to do obs manually and struggling doing so? lol KWRI 200956Z AUTO 00000KT 8SM CLR 25/25 A2986 RMK AO2 SLP110 T02490247 $= KWRI 201056Z AUTO 23004KT 10SM CLR 26/25 A2987 RMK AO2 SLP113 T02580247 $= KWRI 201156Z AUTO 27008KT 10SM CLR 28/25 A2988 RMK AO2 SLP117 T02840246 10284 20246 52009 $= KWRI 201256Z AUTO 29008G15KT 10SM CLR 32/23 A2988 RMK AO2 SLP117 T03180225 $= KWRI 201356Z AUTO 30010G16KT 10SM CLR 33/21 A2988 RMK AO2 SLP117 T03320213 $= KWRI 201456Z AUTO 30008KT 10SM CLR 32/22 A2988 RMK AO2 SLP117 T03210219 50001 $= KWRI 201556Z AUTO 29013G19KT 10SM CLR 35/21 A2987 RMK AO2 SLP113 T03460209 $= KWRI 201656Z AUTO 29012G21KT 10SM CLR 35/20 A2987 RMK AO2 SLP113 T03510198 $= KWRI 201756Z 23012G18K 10SM SCT200 35/21 A2987 RMK AO2A SLPNO WND DATA ESTMD ALSTG ESTMD RVRNO $= KWRI 201756Z COR 23012G18KT 10SM SCT200 35/21 A2987 RMK AO2A SLPNO WND DATA ESTMD ALSTG ESTMD RVRNO $ COR 1841= KWRI 201856Z 22010G16KT 10SM SCT220 38/24 A2987 RMK AO2A SLPNO WND DATA ESTMD ALSTG ESTMD RVRNO $= KWRI 201956Z 23010G15KT 10SM FEW060 SCT250 38/25 A2986 RMK AO2A SLPNO WND DATA ESTMD ALSTG ESTMD RVRNO $= KWRI 202056Z 25009KT 10SM FEW060 SCT160 BKN250 35/21 A2984 RMK AO2A SLPNO WND DATA ESTMD ALSTG ESTMD RVRNO $= KWRI 202056Z COR 25009KT 10SM FEW060 SCT160 BKN250 35/21 A2984 RMK SLP103 WND DATA ESTMD ALSTG/SLP ESTMD RVRNO COR 2128= KWRI 202156Z 26009KT 10SM FEW060 SCT180 BKN250 34/20 A2983 RMK SLP100 WND DATA ESTMD ALSTG/SLP ESTMD=

Yeah toss those WRI obs. Something was weird for 2 hours there. https://mesowest.utah.edu/cgi-bin/droman/meso_base_dyn.cgi?stn=KWRI&time=GMT

They’ve been running warm lately.

Damaging heat?

12z euro backs off 1-2C across the board in the mid/late range. It'll probably still try to advect a 23C plume in here by d10.

I've noticed two boundaries being modeled the last few days. One goes through this afternoon (I think through here now) that is like you described. It's basically just a pressure trough functioning as a weak dryline as the winds veer from the S to the W-WNW bringing slightly lower dewpoints and a weak reduction on temps. Then the more legitimate front comes thourgh overnight toward morning with a more substantial T/Td drop.

The 12z GFS pinches the heat off pretty quickly early next week. Euro is probably overdone as usual. I'm in the hot with mild downs camp, but nothing memorable.

walnut or hickory?

Green ash has very short petioles (stems) from the leaflets. White ash has longer leaflet petioles. Black ash have none.

Consistently S-SSE since overnight, but now getting into that W-NW direction.

Noticeable wind shift here and getting a weak drop in the dews. Clouds knocked the temp back a bit too. 86/68

Do you think blue ash would grow well up here? We’re pretty far NE from its native range. I’ve read that it has shown the best resilience to EAB although maybe that’s just a case of them preferring other ash first. Maybe the chemical that helps produce the blue dye inside the bark isn’t very appetizing?

They were arguing over whether the meniscus was at 109F or 110F. A few thought it was chamber weather because of the low mins, but most agreed it was a torch and that they would install air conditioners if such a thing existed.

85/71 gross

My green ash trees are producing a decent amount of seeds. Haven’t checked the sugar maple yet. But we have plenty of the ash and red maples if you need any to spread out there before winter. Maybe the shrubby willow is pussywillow?

You would’ve liked 09. I think I needed more heat than AC that month. lol