dendrite
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Everything posted by dendrite
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I looked and it's still 91F. Beer at ALB. Although DDH is 87/88 right now so maybe they're just forecasting for the ASOS tendencies.
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92.5/72 Noon obs. Didn't see a METAR for IZG but the :50 ob indicated 99F.
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OWD and IZG with the 37C 5m obs now. Should start popping some ASOS 100s between 12-1p.
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Who had you at 91F? today?
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91.0/72 here, but the W wind is definitely picking up. I saw CON and MHT were gusting to 20mph at 11am.
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15z dews and the latest gfs and 3k progs. Reality for mixing will probably be in between like the euro.
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11am
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Torched buoy sensor edit…check that. It’s a damn ship ob. Lol wdg5141
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I looked it up on a map and don’t believe it…mostly 96-98 around the area. The only VT 100° I trusted yesterday was Addison over by Champlain. Lots of 98-99s and PBG obviously had the 101°.
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The hourly METARs are generally :51 to :54 past the hour. They’ve always been a little before the top of the hour so that the data could get disseminated and out for then. So your 10:00 ob is really just one of the 5 min interval obs that they do now.
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DIT…Disappointing in Tolland Can Mitch pass him too?
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I noticed the same thing this morning. Deep blue skies and none of that megalopolis hazy shat.
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Plymouth is correct for the hourly METARs.
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Backdoor?
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6z MAV just for fun CON 102 MHT 102 PSM 101 ASH 100 TAN 104 OWD 103 BOS 102 BED 102 FIT 101 BDL 102 HFD 101 OQU 101 PVD 100 PWM 100 IZG 100
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The dewpoint spike from evaporating dew is mixing out.
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9am hourlies for Tip.
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91F at 9am for IZG.
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Snow cover in the valleys?
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Euro had some rogue spots in that range too, but a lot of 70+ over the interior.
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Yeah. But I still think we'll pull off some 100-101s even with dews near 70. But if the GFS is right we probably start talking 103-105 in the torch spots. One other thing...in the KISS (keep it simple stupid) category. 850s are 22-23C midday. Lop a 15C on top of that and you have 37-38C (99-100F). If you want to go a little higher for some W component you've got 38-39C and you're in the 100-102F range. But I want to see 20kt from the WNW before I start going more wild with the downsloping.
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Same location in CT...same time. 3k NAM vs GFS. The NAM is slightly more backed in the low levels with a lower mixed layer while the GFS is deeply mixed WNW flow up to H75.
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Although I still wonder if models are somewhat overmixing. The 3k NAM is still 70+ dews all day. The GFS is trying to mix down 50s dews with 100F+ temps. I'm tossing that without having some kind of prefrontal trough like we had in 7/2011.
