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dendrite

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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. dendrite
    Pope likes to be the antagonist unless he calls the system first.
  2. dendrite
    NYC images in the New England forum as usual.
  3. dendrite
    Yeah I think the problem this run was a weaker s/w. It never gets latitude and then just triple points eastward. To have a prayer up here it needs to be zonked and curling toward LI before the redevelopment more E-ENE.
  4. dendrite
  5. dendrite
    Yeah...it’s clouds at 96hr.
  6. dendrite
    It’ll probably be up here with a deform band way too far north of reality and cold temps throughout the column. Then we verify with 4” of salt.
  7. dendrite
  8. dendrite
    Yeah I get that too. Night shift on and brightness as low as possible. And then try not to make any noise out of excitement or anger.
  9. dendrite
  10. dendrite
    It’s possible it may not stop snowing until April.
  11. dendrite
  12. dendrite
  13. dendrite
    As you’d expect, the stronger the low the stronger the tuck.
  14. dendrite
    Yeah...any pattern that gets NYC-PHL-DCA excited is generally not great for us. Lots of scraps and sloppy seconds at best.
  15. dendrite
    The future. https://vlab.ncep.noaa.gov/web/environmental-modeling-center/unified-forecast-system
  16. dendrite
    Heh...that looks like the para gfs run from 00z.
  17. dendrite
    That s/w is turning negative and that is a potent tight vort. I thought the flow in the northern stream was looking a little flatter with another s/w modeled further south this run.
  18. dendrite
    Beware the shitstreak on this gfs run.
  19. dendrite
    I’d take that solution and run too.
  20. dendrite
    The paraplegic GFS has consistently looked like the most likely outcome.
  21. dendrite
    I’m glad we learned a lot from the clown maps a week ago.
  22. dendrite
    You’ve got multiple events there.
  23. dendrite
    We’re outside looking in right now, but you know how it goes. A little less confluence and a little more amplification south and it won’t take many bumps to get a fronto band up here on the north side of the QPF gradient. Odd are against it, but we’ve seen it before.
  24. dendrite
    Kinda, sorta, not really.
  25. dendrite
    Pretty much. It’s going to take a lot of Kraft tugs to get this one enough north for a big hit so I may need to cheer on the Cam pick 6.
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