dendrite

Hard to imagine this not looking more like 12z with how much more amplified it is, but despite the confluence backing off a hair it’s still stubborn.

PF will be posting one of them giving him the jack shortly.

A lot of weenie spread to the west there, but SREFs.

The airmass coming in is frigid. Skin sfc will be plenty cold.

North of the deform it'll be crap ratios...especially with dry air advecting into the low levels. Some of the models have some mid/upper level lift coming through on the tail end as the upper level system swings through so maybe we can do 1--3" of fluff in a best case scenario. I wouldn't totally rule out the deformation axis being near you either although odds favor it being more south.

Even the NAVGEM is deforming from W MA to LWM.

Looks like they're following strong convection.

idk...those 3 lows are all weak sauce and halfway to Bermuda.

That’s the deform from W MA into S NH. He’s in between areas of forcing.

More like the IBS.

Rear flap pajamas worn backwards?

Just behind you here with 4”. Maybe we can go for futility?

Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz

Idk...if it’s 32° and pounding at 250’ I think he’d be pasting at 33° or something. Kind of a moot point considering it’s the NAM and we’re still a few days away.

That 10mb is like 250ft and it’s pounding rates. Again he’s west of CQX too.

There was really nothing to ever lose.

He’s even west of CQX Date: 63 hour NAM valid 9Z THU 17 DEC 20 Station: KCQX Latitude: 41.69 Longitude: -69.99 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LEV PRES HGHT TEMP DEWP RH DD WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E W mb m C C % C C deg knt K K K K g/kg ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SFC 1010 -0 1.7 1.5 98 0.2 1.7 53 32 274.1 274.8 274.3 285.5 4.22 1 1000 78 0.2 -0.1 98 0.3 0.1 53 38 273.4 274.0 273.2 283.7 3.80 2 950 487 -3.0 -3.5 96 0.5 -3.2 57 53 274.1 274.6 272.6 282.6 3.10 3 900 913 -5.6 -6.6 93 1.0 -6.0 67 47 275.7 276.1 272.8 282.9 2.58 4 850 1362 -3.6 -4.3 95 0.7 -3.8 75 34 282.4 283.0 277.5 291.7 3.27 5 800 1844 -1.8 -2.2 97 0.4 -2.0 89 25 289.2 290.0 281.7 301.0 4.06 6 750 2354 -5.5 -6.2 95 0.7 -5.8 118 41 290.6 291.2 281.3 300.0 3.21 7 700 2894 -6.0 -6.6 95 0.7 -6.2 144 66 295.9 296.5 283.7 305.8 3.32 8 650 3477 -4.7 -5.1 97 0.4 -4.9 169 84 303.6 304.4 287.4 316.0 4.02 9 600 4106 -6.7 -7.0 98 0.3 -6.8 188 91 308.4 309.1 288.8 320.2 3.78 10 550 4779 -11.5 -12.1 95 0.6 -11.7 206 79 310.4 311.0 288.5 319.2 2.74 11 500 5503 -16.2 -17.0 93 0.8 -16.4 216 69 313.3 313.7 288.7 320.0 2.02

You’re fine where you are. Similar liquid .

Nice hit down there. Even a good pasting for James.

The NAM can always go more north.

Definitely less amped. Game over up here other than nuisance snows.

It only runs at 00z right now...and intermittently.

Steady -SN in CON