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Everything posted by dendrite
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6z gfs phases the northern stream in really early into w tx. That lead s/w ejecting out of baja still looks like a problem to me wave spacing wise. The downstream ridging just can’t amplify enough to get the bigger dog up here.
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The second s/w diving into the baja basically kicks the first one northeast downstream. Eventually the northern stream drops and phases in with the second, but there isn’t enough to curl it up to our latitude. That kicked lead s/w may be limiting our ridging out ahead of the system. It’s a lot of moving parts though…don’t lose your minds yet.
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If you’re using radarscope go into color palettes.
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He was actually in jail when the vid first dropped. #streetcred
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12 inches of snow for all
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Haven’t seen 6z at H5, but the last off hour run dragged the energy in the SW…00z and 12z were better. I have cautious optimism, but today is a big day to start getting all models on board for a system riding up the coast. The trough coming out of Baja is in the 120-144hr window now.
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I remember waiting for the crappy 24hrly maps on Plymouth and then that 8-10 day average. Euro pbp was important back then. And getting QPF info from anyone was like getting a peek at classified documents.
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He’s probably means a couple decades ago when it was just one run per day and it was like 12 hours behind. We’d be waiting in the evening for the 12z run on WWBB.
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That’s a monster front end though and H7 basically tracks along the Pike as the center quickly shoots east. Not worth worrying about details though. Still need to have the actual storm first.
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Stay thirsty my friend. Kidding aside, hopefully we can get this system up here to break up the monotony.
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Junior high like you?
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Fun solution, but yeah still weenie fodder at this range. We get a couple of shortwaves that phase into the Baja system in succession and it’ll be awhile until we model those details correctly.
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LBSW watch in effect
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PV/confluence relaxes just enough as that energy finally ejects out of the SW.
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MJO rising?
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We have the uncanny ability in this subforum to lead the forum in posts, yet not really talk about anything.
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I think most of CNE would gladly take a SWFE pattern. Just keep ramming shortwaves into seasonable temps.
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It defo gets more difficult down there. SNE is more of a wildcard depending on the cold or sfc high in place…but yeah, NNE obviously is favored.
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No aggravation here. I track the sunlight more than storms. I absolutely hate driving to work in the dark and then the sun setting when I get home. Make it snow all you want…just give me at least an equinox equivalent of daylight.