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dendrite

Administrator / Meteorologist
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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. I’m a fan of the northern stream diving in later. Nice run for CNE
  2. She’s 1 of the 8 from the 2023 flock so this is her first real molt. Usually it’s mid to late fall, but she’s definitely off cycle. I still have another one of those 8 laying. Hopefully she holds off on her molt. But this girl is a mess. It’s worse than it looks here. All she has are neck and wing feathers.
  3. I had a chicken decide to have the worst molt ever a few days ago. Had to bring her in yesterday because she’s almost completely featherless.
  4. Still 11.0° Congrats everyone
  5. 6z gfs phases the northern stream in really early into w tx. That lead s/w ejecting out of baja still looks like a problem to me wave spacing wise. The downstream ridging just can’t amplify enough to get the bigger dog up here.
  6. The second s/w diving into the baja basically kicks the first one northeast downstream. Eventually the northern stream drops and phases in with the second, but there isn’t enough to curl it up to our latitude. That kicked lead s/w may be limiting our ridging out ahead of the system. It’s a lot of moving parts though…don’t lose your minds yet.
  7. Not a great run verbatim for up here, but there’s not a lot of suppression with this look.
  8. If you’re using radarscope go into color palettes.
  9. I took it off of filter mode and there’s some very light returns.
  10. He was actually in jail when the vid first dropped. #streetcred
  11. Haven’t seen 6z at H5, but the last off hour run dragged the energy in the SW…00z and 12z were better. I have cautious optimism, but today is a big day to start getting all models on board for a system riding up the coast. The trough coming out of Baja is in the 120-144hr window now.
  12. What a bunch of broken weenies in here. I’m all in.
  13. I remember waiting for the crappy 24hrly maps on Plymouth and then that 8-10 day average. Euro pbp was important back then. And getting QPF info from anyone was like getting a peek at classified documents.
  14. He’s probably means a couple decades ago when it was just one run per day and it was like 12 hours behind. We’d be waiting in the evening for the 12z run on WWBB.
  15. That’s a monster front end though and H7 basically tracks along the Pike as the center quickly shoots east. Not worth worrying about details though. Still need to have the actual storm first.
  16. Stay thirsty my friend. Kidding aside, hopefully we can get this system up here to break up the monotony.
  17. Fun solution, but yeah still weenie fodder at this range. We get a couple of shortwaves that phase into the Baja system in succession and it’ll be awhile until we model those details correctly.
  18. PV/confluence relaxes just enough as that energy finally ejects out of the SW.
  19. “GFS…rerun the model again except this time with the correct initial conditions.”
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