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dendrite

Administrator / Meteorologist
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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. The last hurrah is approaching here, but it may weenie out for 30 mins before essentially ending.
  2. Heh...1.4"/0.03" in this last sample. A jspin special. So that's 3.2"/0.12" so far. Model QPF on the money, but we're overperforming with ratios.
  3. 25° -SN Had 3.2” a half hour ago. Still accumulating lightly. Maybe we can pull 4”. That would be a win.
  4. Precip is a lot lighter than echoes are indicating. We’ve probably been advecting in a dry layer considering we were peeking some sun all morning while lightly snowing.
  5. Got woke up to some squeaking animal outside...now sure if a barn owl or something in the weasel family. Anyway...ran outside and it stopped making noise in the woods, but it was snowing moderately. There was maybe a half inch on the ground. Back to -SN now and 21.7°.
  6. Put a decimal in there and it has a chance to verify.
  7. Are you using the navgem with curious george now?
  8. Yeah the ptype/rate maps look more pessimistic than the actual QPF.
  9. I had to do a triple take. Some -SN over the interior eventually.
  10. heh...told you a couple weeks ago it was coming. It always seems like they come in bunches down there. During those times we miss the goods every which way. We'll have our day eventually, but these are the times where we just take the L and tip our cap.
  11. Yeah I can't put down a winter with the most memorable storm of my life. Yeah, as a whole the winter has kinda sucked, but when it comes to memories, this one has a big one. Some of those other 100" winters had a lot of events, but my recollection of the individual events has faded. It's kinda how I feel about 11-12. Yeah, the winter sucked as a whole, but Oct 11 was also one of the greatest, anomalous storms of my life. I'll take 20-21 and 11-12 over 80" of numerous 6-10" events in which none of them stand out.
  12. Should be good for my 5th straight 1-2”
  13. Good run. Almost time to whip this out on the season.
  14. I'm just using the 3k nam for the example. There's a little mid level lift in the DGZ very early on but it doesn't look like a huge deal. The better growth starts to redevelop up my way. These things often change as you get closer in though.
  15. Where's that? a little over a tenth of QPF averaging 12:1. Meh. That may be generous too although I'm sure there will be bursts that tickle up closer to the DGZ. Is that Cobb method?
  16. Yeah that's the omega. Don't worry too much about the theta-e...although you can see which isentrope the fronto slope and lift runs along. Looks like about 300-310K there. Air prefers to move toward areas with similar density so when you get that WAA and sloped ascent (warm air overrunning the cold) the lift tends to slope along a specific isentrope (line of constant potential temp).
  17. This is not the way to run high ratios.
  18. Did you quadruple the output though?
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