dendrite

Hit 21.7F here a bit ago with the thin overcast, but it bounces around the low 20s depending on cloud density and how much longwave is reemitted back. There will be 2 boundaries going through Christmas day. The first one is with a mid level front that'll kick the core of the LLJ east. The flow veers from the SE to the S at the sfc and temps may drop a couple of degrees behind it. Then a few hours later we get the actual real CAA and sharp temp drop. If it completely goes, then great. I get my driveway back and the birds get their grass back for the time being.

I don't think it's wiping me out. The warmth never overperforms here, but even taking it literally it'll put a dent in, but not wipe it out. I had 24hrs of 50s-60 with 50s dews in Jan and went from 11" to 1". I'm starting with a compacted 14" this go around and the bottom 2" is complete ice after the early Dec event. I'm interested to see how quickly we warm up though considering there is no high to dam the cold in. We're going to have to flat out do it with trapped cold that doesn't want to budge.

I went from 11” to 1” after the Jan torch. That one will end up being worse with the hours of 60s dews and even sunshine. 4” sounds about right for this.

Define

I will take a cutter per week if I can get a 34” storm every season.

Already the most hourly dews of 50+ up there for met winter.

idk why, but every time I see your avatar it looks like a bong.

Deep winter will set in soon. These torching cutters become very rare after mid Jan.

Cindy-lou Who

New emoji. Merry Christmas

I recall S NH blowing away with +RA and 40s in Feb 2010.

Rain can stabilize things, but not always. Even if we’re “mixed” it’s going to be moist adiabatic with the high dews advecting in over the pack. It gets more difficult in the foothills and sheltered valleys where the latently cooled air can put up an easier fight, but there’s going to be a corridor just inland where the pack will go relatively quickly and the winds will be roaring off the deck with 59/59 at 2m. Idk...I can kinda see this going either way, but I feel like you’re getting a little Popeish here with the angry anti-wind posts and trying to pound your chest while going against the grain. I mean we get it, we know where you stand. But the NWS is hitting the concern pretty hard and some other mets too. Hey, I hope you’re right...we don’t need trees falling on travelers Christmas morning.

Yeah I can’t imagine having a tornado 3rd on my list because I had to put 2 other tornadoes in front of it. That’s some OKC nonsense right there.

I don't get warm events up here.

Nammy def had a bit of an inversion inland as well...but those 925 dews are pretty high and it wouldn’t surprise me if the typical just inland spots warm a bit more and mix some good gusts down.

I used to have a weenie method of taking those wind numbers, doubling them, and using that value as a peak gust in mph. 82mph seems a little high, but we’ll see. lol

Found this from 2018

The new goofus actually sped the front up like the old version. It'll be wrong. I guess old habits die hard.

Said the night wind to the snowy land Dew you see what I see? Raining from the sky snowy land Dew you see what I see? A storm, a storm Torching in the night With a gale melting all the white With a gale melting all the white Said the snowy land to the Tolland boy Dew you hear what I hear? Rumbles through the sky Tolland boy Dew you hear what I hear? A roar, a roar High above the trees Dropping oaks right into the sea Dropping oaks right into the sea

Near MHT ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- LEV PRES HGHT TEMP DEWP RH DD WETB DIR SPD THETA THE-V THE-W THE-E W mb m C C % C C deg knt K K K K g/kg ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- SFC 982 97 13.6 12.2 91 1.4 12.8 154 24 288.2 289.8 286.6 313.8 9.12 2 950 380 12.5 11.5 94 0.9 11.9 161 62 289.8 291.4 287.2 315.3 9.02 3 900 832 10.0 9.9 100 0.1 10.0 166 75 291.8 293.3 287.5 316.2 8.55 4 850 1306 7.7 7.7 100 0.0 7.7 171 83 294.2 295.6 287.6 316.7 7.79

No uncertainty on the top 5 now. Dec 20 Oct 11 Mar 93 Mar 01 Dec 08

Here's a little composite loop of the event.

Awesome bird. Awesome pics. Just stay away from my chickens little buddy.

All the respect in the world for Jay, but I’ll take the ovah.