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dendrite

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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. dendrite
    Goofus with 3-5” here. Goofus16 with 2-3” of sleet and snow and then some ice. I feel like I should post a jspin bread and butter image.
  2. dendrite
    Plenty of kinkiness in the isobars and you can see the circulation in the sfc reflection in the wind barbs here around PWM. Decent CAD for us.
  3. dendrite
    GFS starting as snow and ice in SNE.
  4. dendrite
    Congrats on the win
  5. dendrite
    Yup...definitely the icier solutions.
  6. dendrite
    Got the next frame? 12z op had no precip up here until after 18z...curious what the slower solutions look like.
  7. dendrite
    When does the new Davis come in? I want it damaged right away.
  8. dendrite
    Yeah I think your elevation made it a lot worse. 32-33° down lower is like 30-31° for you. I had to go pick up my broken down car in Lyndonville during it. I remember driving up with my dad and seeing the drooping trees in the Lakes Region. Then we got up to the notch and it wasn’t too bad at all. Then it picked up again in St. J.
  9. dendrite
    A lot of times our icing setups trend toward more sleet or just more rain. If we’re getting enough CAD to maintain the ZR, usually it finds a way to be deep enough or cold enough to freeze back to IP. 2008 was pretty bad, but obviously the epicenter was further south...we had a pretty big mixed bag here. 1998 was a mess too, but we warmed up enough at times to 32-34 to minimize the damage and the epicenter was further north into Quebec. We’ve had plenty of moderate icing events though.
  10. dendrite
    Euro says we ice.
  11. dendrite
    All kidding aside, it's worth watching for the CAD regions in CNE/NNE. I'd like to see the Euro come in more SWFEish this run though. The new GFS had a little ice on the front end up here.
  12. dendrite
    Don't stop, thinking about the cutter Don't stop, it'll soon be here It'll be here Wetter than before The snowpack is gone The snowpack is gone
  13. dendrite
    Surprised you’re using the old FV3.
  14. dendrite
    Don’t need the ice for multiple reasons. Def not boring lately...I’ll give you that.
  15. dendrite
    Yeah hopefully it’s a cold enough rain to preserve my piles. lol
  16. dendrite
    Pretty drastic differences between the two 6z GFS’s.
  17. dendrite
    NAM/Ukie were closest on QPF up here...GFS and Euro too high. I haven't looked at much as to why the lower end panned out, but the MWN winds were pretty tame compared to forecasts...maybe the LLJ just wasn't strong enough up here and we had weaker forcing.
  18. dendrite
    It’s only 1850’ too. So definitely more like a condo area.
  19. dendrite
    I was probably a bit harsh. They’re volunteers. I’m not sure where exactly the obs were taken. You can see the estimated liquid equivalent in the forms though.
  20. dendrite
    We live in New England. It can snow in crap patterns and rain in good ones. I don’t think saying the pattern looks poor for the next couple of weeks is saying it can’t snow. It’s just saying the odds are against anything substantial.
  21. dendrite
    I prefer to talk science with reality...not stubborn optimism.
  22. dendrite
    Their COOP forms were always a joke. Everything was always rounded off and you can tell they estimated the liquid equiv. Like oh this is fluff so we’ll call this 12” 0.60”. Or this is a heavier fluff we’ll call it 15” 1.50”. Just lazy. Then in the comments they never mention rain in even the cuttiest of cutters...but they never failed to mention flurries. It looked like reports on their site. Hopefully BTV told them to pound sand.
  23. dendrite
    1.41” final here. Had a trace of snow overnight. Down to 28.7°. Gonna have to call the pack a trace this morning. There’s almost nothing out back, but an inch or so out front. Pretty crazy how quickly we wiped out almost 3ft.
  24. dendrite
    Upside down
  25. dendrite
    Hillary Andrews just left the board
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