dendrite

The block is real on all ensembles. It’s far enough out though that we hope and pray it weakens a bit and we can get more westerly flow in here at times rather than prolonged retrograding depression.

Won’t be that warm. Probably 40s at best Friday even in the lower els. You may not get out of the 30s.

Euro backed off on the intensity of the cold a bit for late week. I wasn't really buying the -20C 850s into S NH at that range. Still a good cold shot though.

Yeah, you're impressed and it was realistically a meh winter up there. You'll love it when we get some real cold and frequent storms. Your area should be able to produce some wire-to-wire Nov-Apr packs. Not much worked out this year except for that one good storm you had and the Dec biggie down here. You win some; you lose some.

heh...8”

Not happening this time of year with W flow and some sun.

Got up to 71F. Now showers and storms around. 63/54 -TSRA currently.

67/61 with sun. Love it.

Best storms of the year today?

I’ve seen mosquitoes here in Feb when it’s 40F in the evening. lol

Honestly I haven’t been following it enough. I’ve been checked out for the past week outside of watching for backdoors. I’ll look more later after I lock the birds up.

Just like the Xmas eve torch with 60F dews. 3ft vanished faster than Pope after a bust.

The section on the SW side of my house/garage is really going nuts in a few years. I know we’ve talked about this before, but it was basically 2 years for it to really start spreading. I’m torn on whether I’d do it again only because it can be hard to stop once it gets going, but it torches so bad over there that all cold season grass just died and I don’t have the well to keep watering it.

It’s totally an American thing. Most people from other countries don’t understand it.

Yeah I posted about that earlier. Huge difference in the melt today with 63/53 and little sun versus 63/13 and all day blues.

Maybe he can post some of the 24hr GFS QPF maps from over the years?

We had a nice ZR storm up here in April a few years ago. It can happen with a strong enough ageostrophic flow and a thick enough deck even during the day and a little below freezing. It doesn’t take much insolation to ruin the accretion though. A good SWFE has no problem socking us in to the dark misery though.

Not to defend the euro, but.. 1. That’s a weenie clown map not produced by the actual model so it comes down to the vendor’s algorithm. 2. It’s a day 8 map. So comparing a d8 op run to the NAM is a little laughable.

I'll have 10 pawpaw trees after I add 6 this summer. I have 2 large pear trees (good large fruit), a common apple (fruit sucks), a crab apple (good but tart), a peach (dying and cutting it this year), and 2 tart cherries already. I've started a good dozen american chestnut trees as well. I planted 4 seedless concord grapevines a few years ago and got a ton of fruit last year, but they all have seed remnants. So I turned to Double A Vineyards in NY for higher quality vines that are truly seedless. I'll plant those bare root in April. I want to use my land. I don't want it to use me.

Yeah the low crud is getting decimated. I can see it brightening to my west.

My abnormally dry yard is soggy and full of puddles.

55/52 is doing way more damage on the snow banks than 60/10 with sun did.

I'd like to cover 9/10 of my lawn with a foot of wood chips and just plant all fruit and nut trees.

That little mesolow off the southcoast kinda has to kick east before the westerly flow starts mixing down. So it’s probably a slow progression from SW CT up to my way. Models don’t mix the crap out up here until after 18z and we know how that can lag so my hunch is I’m screwed. I’ll probably get some breaks after 5pm when the sun is behind the western pines.