dendrite

He is tied with Ray for big icing events.

Almost looks like Ryan circled that specifically around Met Herb. Maybe we can bring down some maple tapping equipment while those just barely to the SW rot around 32.3°.

0.5” with the new measuring method is really nbd. You’ll probably lose a couple of rotted oak branches.

It’s snow depth change...not snowfall. What you’re seeing there is the relatively coarse grid. So it’s basically calling the snowless portion the ocean.

A little x-section through the 18z 3k NAM ptypes. You can see the fronto slope along 300K and some decent lift around here just N of the warm tongue moving in at 750mb. I noticed on the 12k the snow tries to fight off the sleet line just north of CON for a good 6 hours. Of course most of the lift is below the DGZ which is typical of these events although there is some midlevel banding near the Canadian border. I kinda miss it on this slice, but there's more lift in the DGZ around 500-600mb westward toward BTV/SLK.

Same ol' G(FS)

12k looked like about 50/50 snow and sleet for CON...3km maybe a little more sleet. You being a little more north helps. Hopefully we stay mostly snow. I hate clearing tons of sleet.

I feel like it busts more when the warm layer is around H85 and it’s the warmest model. But it usually nails these H7 warm tongues. I’m sure Will can name every system it failed on in the last decade, but I’m just going by my empirical feeling.

idk...I always feel like it does a decent job with the warmth aloft. Especially when it’s around 700mb.

It’s probably a little warmer just below H7 too. 3k nammy for example.

MAV with a high of 8° at DFW Monday. Current coldest max on record is 12°.

Pretty sultry at 850. Maybe GON-TAN can mix some of that down.

That's not a lot of damage.

Nice day in the Cali deserts. KNXP 132103Z 30041G57KT 1/2SM BLDU VV005 18/M06 A2978 RMK AO2 PK WND 31057/2102 T01831056

You can actually connect up through WY...there’s a winter wx advisory that gets hidden behind a wind chill warning north of Laramie.

NAM was a nice glazing event for NW CT.

If you compare 850/925 temps the ukie was warmer than the euro. I'd toss the clown maps.

I was actually looking for the Lyndon St one and got this. Ekster and Diane know all about the LSC one.

Snuck in a -42F after 12z. Impressive.

Not bad. And that’s probably leaning toward the meh side of climo up there. You never got a legit arctic airmass either. The kind where it’s -15F on your hill with 30mph winds.

Although I guess the euro is close to an all snow thump before we slot aloft. We shall see.

Gonna need a lot of trending to get all snow out of the late week system.

Under. But any snow should end up around 10:1. We may be dealing with pellies late week though.

INL was at least -41F which is a new record. Coldest for so late in the season since 1973. Only 3 other airmasses have brought -40s there this late in the season in their period of record.