dendrite

Getting a little happy ending.

Deep winter's back is broken. I haven't hit 40F here since 1/16 and it looks like those chances will creep up this week. Then maybe some warmer days to start March. Yeah...it'll snow again. Yeah, it'll get cold again. But the coldest of the cold looks to be behind us. It's like when you get that 1st cold front in late August that breaks the string of 3 weeks of lows in the 60s to near 70F and the outlook shows multiple fronts and sfc highs going into Sep.

Well 26:1 total.

The last hurrah is approaching here, but it may weenie out for 30 mins before essentially ending.

Heh...1.4"/0.03" in this last sample. A jspin special. So that's 3.2"/0.12" so far. Model QPF on the money, but we're overperforming with ratios.

25° -SN Had 3.2” a half hour ago. Still accumulating lightly. Maybe we can pull 4”. That would be a win.

Picking back up now. 25°

Precip is a lot lighter than echoes are indicating. We’ve probably been advecting in a dry layer considering we were peeking some sun all morning while lightly snowing.

Really good growth in this.

1.8”/0.09” 20.2° -SN

Got woke up to some squeaking animal outside...now sure if a barn owl or something in the weasel family. Anyway...ran outside and it stopped making noise in the woods, but it was snowing moderately. There was maybe a half inch on the ground. Back to -SN now and 21.7°.

Put a decimal in there and it has a chance to verify.

Noted for future reference.

Are you using the navgem with curious george now?

Yeah the ptype/rate maps look more pessimistic than the actual QPF.

I had to do a triple take. Some -SN over the interior eventually.

Euro really craps this out.

heh...told you a couple weeks ago it was coming. It always seems like they come in bunches down there. During those times we miss the goods every which way. We'll have our day eventually, but these are the times where we just take the L and tip our cap.

Yeah I can't put down a winter with the most memorable storm of my life. Yeah, as a whole the winter has kinda sucked, but when it comes to memories, this one has a big one. Some of those other 100" winters had a lot of events, but my recollection of the individual events has faded. It's kinda how I feel about 11-12. Yeah, the winter sucked as a whole, but Oct 11 was also one of the greatest, anomalous storms of my life. I'll take 20-21 and 11-12 over 80" of numerous 6-10" events in which none of them stand out.

Should be good for my 5th straight 1-2”

Good run. Almost time to whip this out on the season.

I'm just using the 3k nam for the example. There's a little mid level lift in the DGZ very early on but it doesn't look like a huge deal. The better growth starts to redevelop up my way. These things often change as you get closer in though.

Where's that? a little over a tenth of QPF averaging 12:1. Meh. That may be generous too although I'm sure there will be bursts that tickle up closer to the DGZ. Is that Cobb method?