dendrite

Also I think you need 4 hourly obs to get the 3 hours inclusive...not sure. BDR is manned today too, but I’m not sure if they augment vis obs. Maybe @OceanStWx knows how GYX goes about verifying it.

Criteria has always been under 1/4SM. But with automated ASOS sites without augmentation it’s damn near impossible to get obs of M1/4SM. A lot of the old manned 0SM, 1/16SM, and 1/8SM obs are seen as 1/4SM by the ASOS now.

Depends if they’re counting 1/4SM as blizz criteria now.

You’re not missing anything...run of the mill. So I’m cheering on a bust on the low side.

Looks like that’s on the nose of the dryslot. May get a little unstable there.

Yeah...just nw of there. Will be interesting to see the final totals and how the warm layer affects the ratios.

Death pings

Dual pol has a melting layer in there?

Actual ice pellets? My guess is some convectively rimed flakes in that band.

The CMC suite has been pretty consistent with that and it’s interesting how some of the other models try to regenerate the low down there now. I guess we’ll see, but you have to think the canadians are overdoing it.

You’re not in that 1” QPF zone...it’s MHT south. Some of the models are giving us under 0.50” QPF. Firehose is a bad term to use with this...it hasn’t really looked like that for awhile. We have a quick moving arc of fronto moving through that gives us some snow and that’s about it. There may be some coastal front goodies near the coast, but up here the low level flow is more NE which is downsloping for us. The more E flow is in the mid levels. Sometimes the snow hole gets overdone by the models, but it’ll be there to some extent. Just pray to the RGEM.

They had the meso band up here the night before but that’s it. Synoptically the CMC has been meh. They’ve been damn persistent with this though.

It looked like 00z had it develop near the same convection where the rgem does, but it was weaker and went into central ME.

I’ve got 99 problems but therms ain’t one 8.4°

It’s pretty much all the same thing once it gets up here. The mini “firehose” so to speak. The waa is coming into the midlevels from the east. It looks like a meh storm for us no matter how you slice it unless the wildcard happens...we need those CMC models to verify with the tertiary low backing in toward the seacoast. Some of the other models are trying to do that now too, but they’re too far offshore.

7.7° overcast

6z nam tried the hook and ladder

Never had a chance with the flow coming down from ORH.

Stein! Dry begets dry?

Just need the NAM to produce a tertiary low and tuck it up into BOS like the RGEM.

Rev is going to love that forecast.

I hope this verifies.

Use whichever one gives you more.

Kevin and I may be downslope twins in this.

Marny Stanier just deleted her account.