dendrite
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Everything posted by dendrite
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OBS/DISCO - The Historic James Blizzard of 2022
dendrite replied to TalcottWx's topic in New England
19.8 clouds -
Liquid equiv seems to be matching the QPF through 4z down there.
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The euro will quietly cave at 00z when everyone is in storm obs mode.
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I had little wind too. Flakes just stacked.
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Goofus probably jacks downeast ME. I get about 3-4".
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Let's keep the obs in the pinned obs thread everyone.
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Really wish the euro didn’t flinch at 12z…
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Problem is you can make the contour interval whatever you want it to be. Traditionally it’s 6dm at H5 which is probably the voodoo Rayno is referring to. As you can see, TT uses 3dm.
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Yeah…lots of yummy junk food in a walmart parking lot.
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Eh…sometimes you have to listen to the models when you’re inside 24hr and all of these runs from models with slightly different physics and parameterizations show the same basic idea.
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Still nice for eastern areas. Not quite as bad as the RGEM yet.
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You can get the HRRR with 15min increments. https://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/HRRRsubh/Welcome.cgi?dsKey=hrrr_subh_ncep_jet&domain=t3&run_time=28+Jan+2022+-+15Z
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It'd be nice if ECMWF could speed up their product output by even 30 minutes. Are they running 4dvar on a compaq presario?
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I'm starting lakesregionnhwx.com
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Ukie slicin' and dicin' the QPF up here.
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I'll have to look at the lift up there later...maybe your upslope enhancement will be in the DGZ? I think I'll be better than 10:1, but nothing special. You have to be in the meat of the deep deformation band to get the absurd ratios.
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At those amounts/rates you start dealing with the weight of snow upon itself too...even if you measure every 6/8/12hrs. Add in the wind and 25:1 in theory probably becomes half that.
