dendrite
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Everything posted by dendrite
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You can get the HRRR with 15min increments. https://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/HRRRsubh/Welcome.cgi?dsKey=hrrr_subh_ncep_jet&domain=t3&run_time=28+Jan+2022+-+15Z -
It'd be nice if ECMWF could speed up their product output by even 30 minutes. Are they running 4dvar on a compaq presario?
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I'm starting lakesregionnhwx.com
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Ukie slicin' and dicin' the QPF up here.
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I'll have to look at the lift up there later...maybe your upslope enhancement will be in the DGZ? I think I'll be better than 10:1, but nothing special. You have to be in the meat of the deep deformation band to get the absurd ratios.
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At those amounts/rates you start dealing with the weight of snow upon itself too...even if you measure every 6/8/12hrs. Add in the wind and 25:1 in theory probably becomes half that.
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Who cares? That run was terrible.
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Yeah I refreshed and it wasn't in the system yet. lol
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The NAM did it at 12z. Let's wait and see what the 12z Euro does.
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That's a congrats for Ray/SE NH/dryslot. Although sometimes these things have surprises. I just like to be close to the real goods on modeling and then let it play out. Sometimes I get a Dec 20 and sometimes I get scraped with frozen sugar.
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A little east up this way, but I can't see the upper level features on 6z yet...replying on COD to update. I'll take others' word on it that H7 looks similar.
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Not really sure what to expect back this way. The models that hammer us good are the 12k and ec. I’d like to see some other models come on board or trend more west. Gun to head, I think the ec and nam tick east a bit.
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Probably referencing the upper low capturing the sfc low giving it the “blizzard loop”.
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Babysteps with the goofus right up until go-time.
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I don't blame you until more guidance comes in. This could be the one zonked NAM12 run.
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I'm cheering you on. All of the big EPS members up here crush NJ as well.
