dendrite
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Everything posted by dendrite
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Some coughing and chest pain now…fever back up to 101. I assume this is COVID. Sucks.
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That was actually well modeled. Most models had more here than in the Berks.
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ASOS w.e. ORH 0.53” BOS 0.48”
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Kuchie maps have a lot of issues up here because they’re based on sfc temps and assume higher ratios the colder and colder your 2m temp gets. It’s really a lazy first estimate on snow totals. We know how you can be frigid at the surface in a SWFE, yet it’s pushing freezing at 750mb and your snow ends up 9:1. Or Scoot today creeped up near 32° for a bit, but being under that band he was getting massive growth with that lift in the DGZ so he’s pulling off good ratios despite relatively warm temps.
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The first step will be natural compaction. I always find my snow tends to want to compact toward 10:1 over a few days. Then possible 30s and liquid precip will knock it down to an extent. Tuesday will try to sublimate some, but that won’t do much to it. But you’ll still have a tough base after this weekend.
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Nice round numbers on this one. 4.0”/0.30” So even up here we managed 13:1.
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There’s a couple of Southington cocorahs obs this morning. One was 7.0”/0.45” at 7am and another was 8.5” at 8am (no w.e.). Models tend to underestimate the QPF under mesobands (my frequent experience).
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What do you have? I just went out to shovel a path to the girls and I felt like death after attempting that. I’m at 3.9”.
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Trust me I know about meso bands. lol The measuring method just looks suspect. That’s all I’m saying.
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Not supposed to measure and clear every hour. This looks suspicious because of the water equiv on an hourly basis (unless this person is using a heated rain gauge). A heated rain tipper will underestimate the w.e. as well. Just throwing that out there.
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Maybe…just noticed the last hour of local obs it ramped up to 1/4-1/2sm.
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Nah I’ve been awake. Chickens don’t care if you’re sick. Maybe a little over an inch here. Just guessing based on where we were an hour ago.
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If it’s any consolation the 6-12” will compact in half in a few days.
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Nice one guys. That’s a nice base to have in advance of that cold shot. 2” would be a win here. -SN right now.
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Quasi stationary over your fanny.
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That band is juicy.
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Fever broke on its own a couple hours ago. Just body aches and a bad headache now.
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That’s using sfc obs and there’s none out over the ocean so the isobars will look funky along the coast. -
May be tough although it’ll be damn cold. Early midnight temps may be too warm for records, but we’ll see if the CAA can speed up.
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-36°C 850s into Kentucky. Sounds reasonable.
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Really hope this storm fails up here…woke up with flu like symptoms and currently have a temp near 103°. This is 15 days after getting my booster so I assume it may be the flu? Sucks.
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Measured 0.5" this morning. Just enough to make the commute messy.
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Looks like we had some surprise snow overnight. Enough to cover the vehicles.
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This run was definitely "wetter" up there.
