dendrite

00z euro valid 18z and the current 17z dews. It’s going to have to mix out a lot to match those euro numbers.

Euro had Tds of 70-71 over a smaller region that is 72+ right now, but it really mixes it out in the midwest by 18z. So let’s see if that happens over the next few hours.

Right through to the winter solstice.

CON has never gotten over 102° so I think we’d need more than 20-21C at H85 to pull it off unless we can line up the state police chopper’s exhaust right on the ASOS before it takes off to pull over more Massholes.

MOS is mostly 96-98 in the S NH hot spots…CON/MHT/ASH. If you add 2-3° to the 18z valid NAM temps you get similar. Haven’t seen euro max 2m maps yetz, but based on 18z temps I assume they’re still hitting 101-103 which I’m still tossing. Maybe one of the ASOSes gets a little heat spike one day and ends up 100-101 but I don’t think we’re seeing widespread 100s.

Actually sunsets peak around the 26th I think. Before you know it the days will be getting longer again.

Sunrises already getting later

Nammy is on another planet this week with high dews and less extreme temps. It’s more of what I envisioned.

They did have a prefrontal trough in there.

MIL arrives Wed. We’re going to have to bite the bullet and install.

Doubt it. Wed night may be the best chance.

I have no fear. I have only love.

Not happening. 1911 is the only triple digit wave. It may be close a couple of days, but I’ll take the under on them hitting 100°. EC and EPS are thermodynamically funky.

MHT had 101 in June 95 and 104 in Jul 95, but for whatever reason that early 90s data pre-ASOS hasn’t made it into the threaded data yet.

Excessive heat watch is up

I think MOS looks pretty reasonable. Plenty hot and miserable

I mean gtfoh with this. Look how it torches that zone with the low to mid 50s dews. That isn’t happening with temps in the 100s.

It’s still hitting dews in the mid 50s to near 60 during the daylight hours which is hard for me to believe. I think Thu it has 103/52 at MHT in the afternoon. I just can’t see that happening. Bump those dews up a good 10F and those 2m temps come down into the mid to upper 90s. 12z 850s each morning run about 19-21C. We’re usually pretty good to add +15 to +17 to that in the summer. So best case there is about 38C in the torch spots…aka 100F. I think we’ll have a lot of 97-99s in the MerrRV.

Where?

I still think it tones down a bit as we get closer in, but man…that is the warmest euro run yet. lol

32° for Alex. Congrats! https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KNHCARRO4

HIE 32 SLK 30

They may never do it at the current location. 1911 may have been close with 104° at BOS and 102° at the lower elevation. But in 2011 BOS hit 103° and ORH only 96°.

53° already. This is horrible.

MAV has 33° for HIE. KHIE GFS MOS GUIDANCE 6/15/2024 1800 UTC DT /JUNE 16 /JUNE 17 /JUNE 18 HR 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 09 12 15 18 21 00 03 06 12 18 N/X 33 73 43 83 57 TMP 59 45 39 34 48 63 70 72 62 48 45 45 51 69 81 83 75 64 60 70 88 DPT 41 39 34 30 38 38 35 35 41 42 41 41 45 50 52 55 60 60 59 65 64 CLD CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL CL FW BK OV OV OV BK BK FW FW SC BK SC WDR 31 12 00 00 00 30 28 26 21 00 00 00 00 23 23 24 25 00 00 00 26 WSP 05 01 00 00 00 03 03 05 02 00 00 00 00 04 05 05 01 00 00 00 04 P06 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 8 4 3 5 P12 3 0 2 10 4 Q06 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Q12 0 0 0 0 0 T06 0/ 0 0/ 0 0/ 3 0/ 0 0/ 0 1/ 0 3/ 3 5/10 7/ 0 9/ 4 T12 0/ 3 1/ 0 3/ 7 7/10 9/ 6 CIG 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 7 8 8 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 VIS 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 OBV N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N N