They upgraded to warnings but admitted they may not meet the threshold, but went with them anyway because of the intensity of snow rates in the morning. We'll see. I mean I had 5-8" for us IIRC.
We’ll be inverted during the snow so don’t worry about the wind. Maybe some gusts later in the day. We’ll flip to rain before the slot…guarantee it. Not trying to burst your bubble here.
I mean there a little weenie spot at 850 cooler in the Berks, but 925 and the sfc look the same or a tick warmer. I did see the ptype maps indicate snow holding on briefly longer, but I’m not going to overanalyze ptype maps.
Some of these hardy breeds would never make it down in the jungle. Most of my birds would rather have 0° than 90°. They can fluff up and find a way to stay warm at 0°. They can find little relief from 90° with dews.
There's going to be big bust potential with the clowns given the precip rates and deep layers in the low levels approaching +1C. The clowns could be calling 2 hours of 0.20"/hr @ 34F 4" of snow when it may not be accumulating much anymore. Like Will said, it's an interesting nowcast.
My intuition is to undercut the clowns a bit.
Didn't see the 6z euro, but 00z ticked warmer from yesterday at 12z. Some ticks cooler on the NAM and GFS. So looks like we're meeting somewhere in the middle.
Should be a few hours of low 40s. Even if he holds u30s during the warm conveyor he'll have the front come through from the SW to mix it out and he'll end up with some low 40s with weak CAA anyway. The caveat will be breaks in the overcast during midday while the airmass is still relatively warm. Pop some sun for an hour or so and it shoots up to 45+.