Relatively meh dynamically out east after the Ronnie Coleman IVT for the Catskills and WNE. I had more hope for up here given the track just north of PVC, but no dice.
But that first low at 12z helped back the flow a bit and keep 925 from torching too much. It doesn’t matter with a track like this…there’s enough forcing and dynamics to overcome it. Just don’t let it get too far east.
it had a more potent sfc low going into CT and then redevelopment well east of the cape that backed in. This kept the prolonged inv trough look. But yeah, obviously it wasn’t as far east as the gfs.