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dendrite

Administrator / Meteorologist
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Everything posted by dendrite

  1. dendrite
    No mix there but the growth sucks.
  2. dendrite
    I miss neggy, pessimistic tblizz.
  3. dendrite
    This is how I picture your rage when one of those is posted.
  4. dendrite
    It’s probably wrong, but these are usually weenie statements.
  5. dendrite
    Toss the kutchie on the left hand side
  6. dendrite
    Yeah I’d be hesitant to trust the NAM synoptically at this point so maybe it’ll come back south. I trust its thermals, but not until it gets the synoptics figured out. ninja’d by everyone
  7. dendrite
    Beautiful sunrise.
  8. dendrite
    Even a glimpse of sun would be appreciated today.
  9. dendrite
    For the GFS apologists
  10. dendrite
    Maybe a little bump north on the goofus, but mostly noise. Primary seemed a little stronger.
  11. dendrite
    I hve fully expected it here tomorrow, but with the way it’s going I may wedge today. This cloud deck is hell.
  12. dendrite
    Kinda noise to me at this point, but the midlevel primary lows were a little more west. Just something to keep an eye on. You can kinda get caught in a pretzel comparing runs with these this far out with timing/advection/forcing differences.
  13. dendrite
    People freely flying by Metfan at 100mph while he views that one.
  14. dendrite
    This run looked close to or maybe a little warmer than 00z to me. Be careful comparing because this run looks slower so there's a lag with the WAA when comparing the same valid times.
  15. dendrite
    I mean we know how these things generally go. The core of the lower level cold is H85 and that's where some of the best WAA is, but when I see H7 starting at -6C at the precip onset it gives me pause on ratios. Maybe we'll luck out with a period of better than 10:1, but I'd just hedge toward the usual SWFE ratios for now.
  16. dendrite
    Sell. H7 is pretty warm.
  17. dendrite
  18. dendrite
    Goofus with another bump north.
  19. dendrite
    Wednesday?
  20. dendrite
    You’re fine. You probably started your long post before he made his.
  21. dendrite
    Temps are pretty warm aloft. Look above H85. Euro gets -4C at H7 up to me. The longer the primary holds on the more the temps aloft will be a problem. Still days away so yeah, there will be tweaks to the evolution. And yeah, 6z GEFS did look warmer at H85 to me.
  22. dendrite
    18”?
  23. dendrite
    Ginxy drinking the George koolaid
  24. dendrite
    I don’t want positive energy. I want reality and science here.
  25. dendrite
    Except we don’t usually look at the GEPS. lol
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