dendrite
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Everything posted by dendrite
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I just mean it can get a little unstable on the nose of that dryslot. Not sure what you’re implying that I’m implying. lol
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Huh?
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Maybe you guys can get a flash or two just ahead of the dryslot.
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Again I don’t read too much into that. Maybe it’s a little behind reality, but I think 4pm won’t be far off from the gist of this.
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All models punch the dryslot through there toward 9z. It can be your friend too…it’s aiding in that enhanced forcing. There’s really good lift H7-H5.
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I don’t read too much into the sfc ptype stuff. Keep in mind sim radar and sfc ptype intensity won’t always line up. TT maps seem a little coarse too. 3k seemed in the ballpark with CLE radar. But there’s some convective precip and brightbanding down there so it’s tough to compare.
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Nice fronto there for AFN-MHT on the 3k.
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He meant trough to our west. EPS is cold though.
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12z?
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Good luck
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Yeah it always looks like a d5 ensemble mean and misses the details. I'd probably trust its QPF stuff more for the mid range.
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Well the 12z NAM was pretty good up here. But the mid-level fronto just depends on the system track...it's not like we're really geographically favored over them climatologically in a system like this. I'd like to see the euro have a few weenie hours up here after midnight.
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This would be fun for a few hours overnight.
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We’ll see how 12z goes, but right now I’d lean on the best fronto being MHT to FIT. It’s close enough to keep the weenie hope up here. I’d like a little bump north this morn.
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Decent mid level look on 3k for rt2/S NH.
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Snow banks are getting high and we’re just getting started.
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Sure, but it’s a matter of the type of system and how the temp profile of the storm lines up. But there isn’t a lot of skill with it. It’s just saying the colder the temp profile is the higher the ratio will be…which we know isn’t always the case. Usually it will do well with the deformation banding since there’s usually strong mid level lift in the DGZ with a cold temp profile. I’m surprised someone hasn’t come up with Cobb snow maps yet.
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I need to hear you scream it like this
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Only if it’s a kuchie
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Percentage of the poop covered?
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Looks fine to me?
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Raise your hands in ayer, if you’z a true playa
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What did it have up there?
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It’s not a whiff. NH is just stealing the forcing this run. Did well up here I thought. I don’t even look at 12k anymore unless I want to see midlevel temps. But I’m not putting much stock in this solution.
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Yeah 3k went wild up here. lol
